Euro slips on worries over Greek talks

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[May 11, 2015]  By Jemima Kelly

LONDON (Reuters) - The euro slipped against most major currencies on Monday, as many investors took a pessimistic view of the latest round of euro zone talks on a cash-for-reform deal for Greece.

Greece, which must repay a 750 million euro loan to the International Monetary Fund on Tuesday, faces the risk of defaulting on debt repayments and being forced out of the euro zone. Negotiations have moved slowly and its lenders have ruled out a decisive agreement at Monday's meeting of euro zone finance ministers.

The euro fell half a percent to $1.1153 <EUR=>, well below the two-month peak of $1.1392 struck on Thursday when the outlook for the European economy thawed and euro zone bond yields rallied. Against sterling, it shed 0.7 percent to a ten-day low of 72.010 pence <EURGBP=D4>.

"The market is certainly pricing in a higher risk of default, but that doesn't necessarily mean (Greece will) also leave the euro zone," said Lee Hardman, a currency economist at Bank of Toyko-Mitsubishi UFJ in London.

"I think the more likely scenario is still that Greece will compromise and a last-minute agreement will be reached."

French Finance Minister Michel Sapin said on Monday that Monday's Eurogroup meeting would be "important but not decisive". Though Athens is hopeful of a positive statement, the cash-strapped southern European state and its EU and IMF lenders remain at odds over budget, labor and pension issues.

Adam Myers, European head of FX strategy at Credit Agricole in London, said markets had shifted to a more pessimistic view of Greece's talks with its creditors in the past few weeks.

"They (the Greeks) are going to make their next payment but even so ... I get the feeling in the market that there are increasingly more people who are positioning for a Grexit."

New Zealand's dollar was the biggest mover among major currencies, skidding 1.5 percent against its U.S. counterpart to a seven-week trough of $0.7372 <NZD=D4> as speculation that the country's central bank could cut rates gathered momentum.

Against the yen, the U.S. dollar stood little changed at 119.90 <JPY=>, after Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data failed to offer much of a buying incentive.

The U.S. non-farm payrolls numbers showed a rebound in April, but a significant downward revision to the March figure, and weaker-than expected wage growth. That supported bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve will not begin hiking rates until late in 2015.

Following last week's unexpected outright win for the Conservatives in Britain's parliamentary elections, sterling stayed close to a 2-1/2-month high, up 0.1 percent at $1.5474 <GBP=D4>. Wednesday's Bank of England Inflation Report would be the main focus for the pound this week, analysts said.

(Additional reporting by Shinichi Saoshiro in Tokyo; Editing by Toby Chopra)

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