Proposition F, which would limit short-term rentals, was brought
by affordable housing advocates fed up with the city's housing stock
being used as rentals for tourists while residents face skyrocketing
rents and evictions.
For Airbnb, a defeat in its hometown of San Francisco would be
mostly a symbolic blow. Should similar measures be introduced
elsewhere, however, the company could face serious financial
consequences.
At stake is its ability to continue adding rentals at the same
speed, increase revenue and maintain its $25.5 billion valuation,
all of which fall under greater scrutiny as it moves closer to an
initial public offering.
Airbnb appears to be winning. A poll conducted Oct. 25-27 found 55
percent of respondents planning to vote against the measure, which
would restrict short-term rentals to 75 nights per year and give
neighbors greater power to sue rental property owners.
The poll was done by David Binder Research for the No on F campaign,
funded by Airbnb.
The campaign Airbnb orchestrated against Prop. F, outspending
supporters by nearly 30 times, suggests how fearful the company is.
"It doesn't want to give (regulators), or community activists, ideas
that they can take on Airbnb," said Henry Harteveldt, founder of
travel research firm Atmosphere Research Group.
Airbnb used the battle to craft its playbook for other political
challenges, said Chris Lehane, its global policy chief.
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"It will inform us of not only how we work in San Francisco but
around the world," said Lehane, a political strategist who managed
scandals during the Clinton administration.
In San Francisco, Airbnb spent almost $2 million on a campaign that
organized more than 400 volunteers to knock on doors.
Prop. F alone would not have a significant effect on Airbnb's
growth. There are about 5,000 Airbnb rentals in San Francisco,
compared with about 20,000 in New York or 60,000 in Paris.
But other communities are watching.
The Prop. F campaign, which raised about $300,000 from hotel unions
and affordable housing advocates, has discussed its proposal with
officials and housing advocates in New York - whose city council is
weighing restrictions on short-term rentals - Chicago, Los Angeles
and other cities, said coalition cofounder Dale Carlson.
(Editing by Steve Trousdale and Ken Wills)
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