Oil rises after drop, still on course for big weekly loss

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[November 13, 2015]  By Libby George

LONDON (Reuters) - Brent crude edged up from a sharp drop on Friday, but was on track for the biggest weekly loss in more than two months as swelling stocks weighed on the market.

The International Energy Agency said there was a record 3 billion barrels in tanks worldwide.

"The underlying sentiment is bearish," said PVM analyst Tamas Varga. "I don't see anything that could support prices rising in the long term."

Brent crude was trading 70 cents higher at $44.76 per barrel at 0528 ET. It was on track for a more than 5 percent weekly loss.

U.S. crude was 15 cents higher at $41.90 a barrel. The benchmark closed down on Thursday almost 3 percent on a 4.2 million-barrel rise in U.S. crude inventories.

The IEA, in its Monthly Oil Market Report, said that ballooning global stockpiles of crude and oil products could worsen the overhang into next year.

"...The current forecast is for a mild winter in Europe and the U.S. If it turns out to be true, bulging stock levels will add further pressure and oil market bears may choose not to hibernate," the IEA said.

Oil was caught up in a commodities market drop on Thursday, with base metals also hit hard.

Crude markets have been dogged by oversupply, estimated between 0.7-2.5 million bpd being produced above demand, which has resulted in prices falling by almost two-thirds since June 2014.

The glut is a result of high production by most major producers, including OPEC, Russia and North America.

On the demand side, an economic slowdown in Asia, led by the region's two biggest economies China and Japan, has led to concerns about slowing consumption, though it has so far held up.

There were also signs that traders expect more price falls, with the number of options taken to sell crude if prices fall to $40 or even $25 per barrel soaring.

(Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein in Singapore, editing by William Hardy)

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