The Commerce Department on Tuesday said the nation's gross domestic
product grew at a 2.1 percent annual pace, not the 1.5 percent rate
it reported last month. It said efforts by businesses to reduce an
inventory bloat had not been as aggressive as previously believed.
The growth estimate was also boosted by upward revisions to business
spending on equipment and investment in home building.
While consumer spending was revised down a bit, its pace remained
brisk. When measured from the income side, the economy grew at a
brisk 3.1 percent clip, an acceleration from the second quarter's
2.2 percent pace.
The third-quarter's respectable expansion should set up the economy
to achieve at least 2 percent growth in the second half
of the year, around its long-run potential. In the wake of robust
job growth in October and strong domestic demand, the Fed is
expected to raise rates at its Dec. 15-16 policy meeting.
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The GDP revision was in line with economists' expectations.
Businesses accumulated $90.2 billion worth of inventory in the third
quarter, instead of the $56.8 billion reported last month.
As a result, the change in inventories chopped off 0.59 percentage
point from third-quarter GDP growth, rather than the
1.44 percentage points the government reported in October. That,
however, suggests inventories could be a drag on fourth-quarter
growth.
Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S.
economic activity, grew at a 3.0 percent rate, down from the 3.2
percent rate estimated last month. The downward revisions mostly
reflected weak outlays on communication services and utilities.
A measure of private domestic demand, which excludes trade,
inventories and government spending, was revised down to a still
sturdy 3.1 percent pace from the previously 3.2 percent rate.
Though there are signs consumer spending slowed early in the fourth
quarter, it is likely to remain supported by a tightening labor
market, rising house prices, which are boosting household wealth, as
well as low inflation.
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Growth in exports, which have been hurt by a strong dollar and
sluggish global demand, were revised to show a slower 0.9 rate of
increase. With imports rising at a slightly faster pace than
previously reported, that left a trade deficit that subtracted 0.22
percentage point from GDP growth.
Trade was previously reported to have had a neutral impact on GDP
growth. Deep spending cuts by energy firms following a collapse in
oil prices continued to weigh on growth. Spending on mining
exploration, wells and shafts tumbled at a 47.1 percent rate, rather
than the 46.9 percent pace reported last month.
Investment in nonresidential structures contracted at a 7.1 percent
pace, instead of the previously reported 4.0 percent rate. However,
business spending on equipment was revised up to a 9.5 percent rate
from a 5.3 percent pace.
The Commerce Department also reported that corporate profits after
tax fell at a 1.6 percent rate in the third quarter after rising at
a 2.6 percent pace in the second quarter. Profits, which have been
undercut by the dollar's strength and lower oil prices, were down
8.1 percent from a year ago, the biggest decline since the fourth
quarter of 2008.
(Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Paul Simao; ((Lucia.Mutikani@thomsonreuters.com;
1 202 898 8315; Reuters; Messaging:
lucia.mutikani.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net)))
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