The court's work on those hot-button issues in its term that ends
next June will unfold during a U.S. presidential campaign, meaning
the justices could find themselves at the center of the political
debate before the November 2016 election.
The justices, five appointed by Republican presidents and four by
Democrats, often divide along ideological and political lines on
pressing social issues.
The court's last term ended in June with rulings legalizing gay
marriage nationwide and rejecting a conservative challenge to
President Barack Obama's healthcare law, actions praised by
liberals. But court observers expect the court's five conservatives
to prevail in most of the big, closely divided cases this term.
They say that unlike in the gay-marriage and Obamacare rulings, the
conservative bloc is less likely to lose the court's regular swing
vote, Justice Anthony Kennedy, on cases involving race, unions and
voting.
In a major battle over the future of affirmative action in college
admissions, the justices for a second time will consider a lawsuit
brought by Abigail Fisher, a white applicant who was denied
admission to the entering class of 2008 at the University of Texas
at Austin.
Affirmative action is a policy under which racial minorities
historically subjected to discrimination are given certain
preferences in education and employment.
Conservative activists backing Fisher would like affirmative action
thrown out entirely. Civil rights groups and the Obama
administration support the policy to bring greater diversity to
campuses and the American work force.
The justices also will hear a case brought by conservatives that
could weaken public sector unions, a challenge by nonunion public
school teachers who say California's requirement that they pay the
equivalent of union dues violates their free speech rights.
Some teachers object to the decades-old practice of allowing
public-sector unions to collect fees, as long as this money does not
get spent on political activities, from workers who do not want
union representation. Republicans often take aim at public and
private sector unions, which generally align with Democrats.
VOTING RIGHTS
The Supreme Court also will hear two voting rights cases brought by
conservatives challenging how electoral districts are drawn in Texas
and Arizona. Wins for the plaintiffs could benefit Republicans in
future elections.
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In the Texas case, the justices will decide whether urban, often
Hispanic voters get too much voting power because of the way state
legislative districts are drawn in a case that could end up giving
more clout to rural Republican voters.
The Supreme Court has not ruled on abortion since 2007 but that
could change this term. This fall, the justices are due to decide
whether to hear a challenge to a Republican-backed Texas law
restricting abortion access that abortion providers contend is aimed
more at shutting clinics than protecting women's health.
The justices also will decide whether to rule on religious
objections to the requirement for contraception coverage under
Obama's healthcare law. They also may get a chance to weigh in on
Obama's executive actions, opposed by conservatives, aimed at
shielding millions of illegal immigrants from deportation.
It is less certain whether the fight over the Obama's immigration
actions will reach the court in time for it to be decided in the
current term.
A series of conservative rulings in the new term could play into the
hands of Democrats come election time, according to American
Enterprise Institute scholar Norman Ornstein. "Whenever you get a
series of rulings that go against you, it will get people more
charged up," Ornstein said.
The justices maintain they are not beholden to political sentiment.
John Roberts, in an interview early in his tenure as chief justice,
told C-SPAN, "I think the most important thing for the public to
understand is that we are not a political branch of government. They
don't elect us. If they don't like what we're doing, it's more or
less just too bad."
(Additional reporting by Joan Biskupic; Editing by Will Dunham)
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