U.S. refiners face severe
labor shortage for deferred maintenance
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[December 29, 2016]
By Jarrett Renshaw
(Reuters) -
After
years of running flat out, U.S. Gulf Coast refiners are lining up
repairs to plants in 2017 - but facing a severe labor shortage that
could delay work, drive up costs and raise accident risks.
Fuel producers such as Marathon Petroleum Corp and Valero Energy Corp
have delayed routine work in the past 24 months amid high margins. Those
margins collapsed this year in a global fuel supply glut, providing an
incentive for refiners to undertake the shutdowns necessary for
maintenance.
But refiners are now competing for pipe fitters and ironworkers with a
host of billion-dollar energy projects, including Cheniere Energy's <LNG.A>
liquefied natural gas export terminals and a new petrochemical unit for
Dow Chemical <DOW.N>.
Without undertaking the work they need, refineries run the risk of more
unscheduled outages at plants. Plant shutdowns can disrupt fuel supplies
and are closely tracked by oil traders because they directly affect
demand for crude and supply of fuel.
"Putting off work definitely affects the safety of the refinery," said
Ed Lee, an independent refinery safety consultant who worked at Royal
Dutch Shell <RDSa.L> for three decades.
Refiners can mitigate the risks - but at a cost, by slowing output or
avoiding types of crude that are difficult to process, Less said.
In recent months, a spate of unexpected outages have hit refineries
nationwide, taking hundreds of thousands of barrels off the market and
boosting gasoline prices and margins.
U.S. refiners are expected to spend $1.26 billion on planned maintenance
next year, up 38 percent from this year and the highest level since at
least 2010, according to Industrial Information Resources (IIR), which
tracks labor supply for refiners and other industrial companies.
Many will struggle to execute those plans, said Anthony Salemme, a vice
president at IIR.
"Refiners are going to have trouble finding even the lowest skilled
workers, such as scaffold builders, and you can't do work at a refinery
without a scaffold," Salemme said. "That's going to complicate
scheduling and even extend outages."
FEW WORKERS, MANY PROJECTS
IIR estimates that the coastal region from Brownsville, Texas to New
Orleans - the largest U.S. refining region - will be short roughly
37,400 craftsman needed to complete all of the planned capital projects
in 2017.
"We are definitely feeling the labor shortages in skilled craft labor,"
said Paul Tooze, construction manager for the oil, gas and chemicals
business at Bechtel, one of the world's largest industrial contractors.
Tooze said the company spends a lot of time and money to attract and
retain employees, but still has to bring in workers from other regions
to complete projects. That typically requires $100-per-day travel
allowances that drive up project costs.
Bechtel employs between 40 percent and 70 percent workers requiring
daily allowances on their Gulf Coast projects, Tooze said.
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Refinery workers walk inside the LyondellBasell oil refinery in
Houston, Texas March 6, 2013. REUTERS/Donna Carson/File Photo
The
shortage will be most acute in Lake Charles, Louisiana, the home to several
refineries and petrochemical plants. There, South African energy firm Sasol is
investing billions on a chemical project, and the call on labor for the plant is
one of the reasons the area will be short more than 18,000 workers in 2017,
according to IIR.
Sasol raised its cost estimate on the project in August by 25 percent to $11
billion, in part due to rising labor costs.
Chevron Phillips – the joint venture between Chevron and Phillips 66 – is
spending $6 billion on building a petrochemical units in Baytown and Old Ocean
in Texas. Labor costs would drive the projects' costs up 10 percent from
previous expectations, Phillips 66 President Tim Taylor said in an earnings call
earlier this month.
Fluor <FLR.N>, one of the world's largest industrial contractors, took a $154
million charge on the plant in November due to cost overruns, including labor.
Earlier this year, Fluor opened a skilled craft training center in the Gulf
Coast, stating that while the firm could not train its way out of the shortage,
it hope to alleviate the problem.
COMPETITION FROM MANUFACTURERS
Refiners are also competing for workers with a broader range of power companies,
pharmaceutical firms and industrial manufacturers nationwide, which are also
preparing for a spike in maintenance projects in 2017, according to IIR.
In the
southwest region that includes Texas, Louisiana, Oklahoma and Arkansas, IIR
counted 952 planned projects among the various groups it tracks, the most since
at least 2010 and a 24 percent increase from this year.
A recent survey conducted by the Associated General Contractors of America found
that 74 percent of Texas contractors are having trouble filling hourly craft
worker positions, and a majority of them believed they would continue to
struggle over the next year.
More than 60 percent of the respondents said they bumped up salaries to attract
more skilled craft workers.
"These shortages have the potential to undermine broader economic growth by
forcing contractors to slow scheduled work or choose not to bid on projects,
thereby inflating the cost of construction," said Stephen Sandherr, head of the
Associated General Contractors.
(Reporting By Jarrett Renshaw; Editing by Simon Webb and Brian Thevenot)
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