Standard and Poor's on Tuesday lowered Alaska's general obligation
(GO) debt to AA+ from AAA due to its belief that the oil-producing
state’s credit quality has continued to slide amid sustained low oil
prices.
S&P also lowered its rating to A+ from AA on some bonds that were
issued by the Alaska Energy Authority and are backed by a moral
obligation pledge from the state, among others.
More than any other U.S. state, Alaska has been hit by the downturn
in oil prices that began in mid-2014. In recent years it has relied
on oil and gas production-related taxes to provide it with nearly 90
percent of its general fund revenues.
But with a supply glut pushing crude oil prices to near 11-year
lows, Moody's expects a 68 percent gap between Alaska's revenues and
expenditures this year.
"This is the most imbalanced budget of any state," John Lombardi,
associate analyst at Moody's Investors Service, told Reuters this
week.
To close the gap, Walker last month proposed taking a portion of the
revenue generated by the state's $47 billion permanent fund, which
is paid out to residents annually via a dividend, and diverting it
to help pay for services.
He has also called from imposing an income tax on residents, the
first in 35 years.
Moody's on Tuesday called Walker's proposal a "fundamental shift" in
how the state derives revenues but said it will be politically
difficult to implement since residents would take a hit from both
the new income tax and a reduced dividend.
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Lombardi said that without major fiscal changes, the state could
face a downgrade from his ratings agency as well.
Moody's assigned Alaska a negative outlook in December 2014 and the
state is currently rated AAA negative.
While Walker called Standard & Poor's downgrades "concerning and
premature," he said he hopes they will serve as a wake-up call to
lawmakers that action is needed, and encouraged them to read the
agency memos in their entirety.
"This further solidifies the need to address our state's fiscal
challenges in the immediate future," Walker said.
(Reporting by Rory Carroll; Editing by Dan Grebler)
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