Gross domestic product increased at a 0.7 percent annual rate, the
Commerce Department said on Friday, also as lower oil prices
continued to undermine investment by energy firms and unseasonably
mild weather cut into consumer spending on utilities and apparel.
The growth pace was in line with economists' expectations and
followed a 2 percent rate in the third quarter. The economy grew 2.4
percent in 2015 after a similar expansion in 2014.
But some of the impediments to growth - inventories and mild
temperatures - are temporary and the economy is expected to snap
back in the first quarter. Excluding inventories and trade, the
economy grew at a 1.6 percent pace.
Nevertheless, the GDP report could spark a fresh wave of selling on
the stock market, which has been roiled by fears of anemic growth in
both the United States and China.
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday acknowledged that growth "slowed
late last year," but also noted that "labor market conditions
improved further." The Fed, the U.S. central bank, raised interest
rates in December for the first time since June 2006. Though the Fed
has not ruled out another hike in March, financial markets
volatility could see that delayed until June.
SMALL INVENTORY BUILD
In the fourth quarter, businesses accumulated $68.6 billion worth of
inventory. While that is down from $85.5 billion in the third
quarter, it was a bit more than economists had expected, suggesting
inventories could remain a drag on growth in the first quarter.
The small inventory build subtracted 0.45 percentage point from the
first estimate of fourth-quarter GDP growth.
Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S.
economic activity, increased at a 2.2 percent rate. That marked a
step-down from the 3.0 percent pace notched in the third quarter.
Unusually mild weather hurt sales of winter apparel in December and
undermined demand for heating through the quarter.
With gasoline prices around $2 per gallon, a tightening labor market
gradually lifting wages and house prices boosting household wealth,
economists believe the slowdown in consumer spending will be
short-lived.
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The dollar, which has gained 11 percent against the currencies of
the United States' trading partners since last January, likely
remained a drag on exports, leading to a trade deficit that
subtracted 0.47 percentage point from GDP growth in the fourth
quarter.
The downturn in energy sector investment put more pressure on
business spending on nonresidential structures. Spending on mining
exploration, wells and shafts plunged at a 38.7 percent rate after
dropping at a 47.0 percent pace in the third quarter.
Investment in mining exploration, wells and shafts fell 35 percent
in 2015, the largest drop since 1986.
Oil prices have dropped more than 60 percent since mid-2014, forcing
oil field companies such as Schlumberger <SLB.N> and Halliburton <HAL.N>
to slash their capital spending budgets.
Business spending on equipment contracted at a 2.5 percent rate last
quarter after rising at a 9.9 percent pace in the third quarter.
Investment in residential construction remained a bright spot,
rising at a 8.1 percent rate.
With consumer spending softening, inflation likely retreated in the
fourth quarter. A price index in the GDP report that strips out food
and energy costs increased at a 1.2 percent rate, slowing from a 1.4
percent pace in the third quarter.
(Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Andrea Ricci)
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