Rio
risks empty Olympic legacy as real estate stalls
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[July 19, 2016]
By Stephen Eisenhammer
RIO DE JANEIRO (Reuters) - "Pure
Island: a neighborhood born ready-made," reads the glitzy brochure
for the 31 tower blocks built for $880 million to house athletes for
the Olympics in Rio de Janeiro next month.
After the Games, this is meant to become Rio's newest community, a
bustling legacy of the 17-day sporting event.
But there's one thing missing - residents.
Developers say they have sold just 240 of the 3,600 apartments that
go for between 750,000 and 3 million reais ($230,000 to $925,000).
Buyers are returning apartments, a sales source said, put off by
Brazil's economic crisis and the scant appeal of being lonely
occupants of a space stretching more than 100 soccer pitches in a
still-remote region of Rio.
The largest athlete's village in the history of the Games is a
visceral monument to now-faded optimism. Planned when Brazil was
booming, its harnessing of private sector wealth was meant to set
the gold standard for a sustainable Olympics.
Instead, the worst recession in generations pushed the luxury
apartments out of reach.
"Pure Island", or "Ilha Pura" in Portuguese, is one of multiple
projects, including the Olympic Park and the 8 billion reais
regeneration of Rio's port area, funded in partnership with
developers but now stalling.
The development, complete with a landscaped central park, fountains,
tennis courts and swimming pools, was spookily deserted on a recent
visit and felt more like a film set than a new neighborhood.
The joint venture between developer Carvalho Hosken and construction
company Odebrecht says it always planned to sell most of the luxury
apartments after the Games. But Mauricio Cruz Lopes, director
general for the project, admitted sales are well below the target of
1,000 properties by now.
"When this project was planned there was an optimism and growth
across all of Brazil," said Cruz Lopes. "Now the situation is
completely different."
TWO-WEEK EVENT
Mayor Eduardo Paes likes to highlight that 57 percent of the nearly
40 billion reais being spent on the Olympics is private money.
London's Olympics by contrast was over 80 percent publicly funded.
Rio used public-private partnerships (PPPs) to get companies to
cover the cost of new venues in return for permission to build real
estate. About 5 million square meters of land has been opened to
developers, more than three times that of London's Canary Wharf.
But companies that entered into the deals are now struggling and
critics say the city missed a chance to build affordable housing
like London did.
Instead, developers accentuated a gaping class divide with luxury
property on the city's western periphery. Now, with Brazil in its
worst recession since the 1930s, demand has crashed and Rio house
prices are down 20 percent in real terms over the past year.
The municipal government removed thousands of people from their
homes, some to improve access to the Olympic Park, others to clear
the way for new transit routes.
Billions of dollars were spent to build bus lines and a subway
extension to improve access to Olympic developments while laws were
changed to increase permitted building heights.
"The worst is that it's all for an event that lasts two weeks," said
Marcia Lemos, 58, whose home by the Olympic Park was destroyed. She
is fighting for compensation in the courts, but expects to get
nothing.
Despite city assertions Rio is being improved for everyone, critics
say developments do little to improve conditions for the 20 percent
of the metropolitan area's 12 million people who live in slums or
ease snarling traffic for poor residents whose commutes from Rio's
outskirts can take two or three hours.
"They overbuilt and they misbuilt," said Andrew Zimbalist, an
economist at Smith College in the United States and author of
"Circus Maximus," a comparative study of the economics of hosting
the Olympics. "They built high luxury condos at a time when the
market was about to go bust."
Ultimately, the Brazilian public could be on the hook because
projects were financed by state banks or public investment funds.
Ilha Pura, for example, was built with a loan of 2.3 billion reais
from state lender Caixa Economica Federal.
Porto Maravilha, the port regeneration, was paid for by FI-FGTS, a
public investment vehicle financed by payroll deductions. The fund
was meant to turn a profit by selling building rights, but has only
sold 9 percent of its stock.
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The aquatic venue is seen at the 2016 Rio Olympics site in Rio de
Janeiro, Brazil June 15, 2016. Picture taken on June 15, 2016.
REUTERS/Ricardo Moraes
Cruz Lopes said he is still confident Ilha Pura will be able to pay
back the loan, due in 2025.
Cassio Viana de Jesus, who oversees the Porto Maravilha investment,
said the fund can still make its targeted return of an accumulated
6.5 percent per year above inflation in 15 years.
There are no punitive consequences if it does not.
PATIENCE
Just across the lagoon from Ilha Pura, finishing touches are being
made to the Olympic Park, a triangular peninsula flanked by putrid
water and equivalent to 160 soccer pitches. Its nine venues, that
will hold 16 sports, are ready.
Workers in blue overalls tweak cables at the aquatics center and
handball arena near the triangle's tip. Both are temporary and will
be removed after the Games to make room for real estate as part of a
1.4 billion reais PPP with Rio Mais, a consortium made up of
Odebrecht, Carvalho Hosken and Andrade Gutierrez.
The master plan for the site, designed by U.S. engineering firm
Aecom, includes a "legacy mode" for how the site will look in the
future.
The plan, among thousands of documents relating to the Olympic Park
reviewed by Reuters through a freedom of information request, shows
a busy neighborhood with apartment blocks hugging the waterline, a
neat web of streets and a park, school, hotel and shopping mall. The
site could be home to thousands of people.
This plan, which won an international competition in 2011 and which
the contract viewed by Reuters states must be followed, forecasts a
transformation of 5 to 7 years. Now, no one knows when it will
happen.
Multiple sources with knowledge of the development said there were
no imminent new residential or commercial projects planned.
Rio Mais did not respond to requests for comment.
Bill Hanway, head of Aecom's sports division that designed the
master plan, said Brazil's economy had slowed the timeframe.
Asked if the site might appear abandoned, he said: "It might look
like that from the air." From the street the site will feel more
developed, he explained, due to permanent structures used as offices
and a hotel after the Games.
"It's important to be patient," said Jorge Arraes, Rio's municipal
chief for PPPs. "If it's abandoned in 10 years, that would be a
scandal, but I don't think it will be."
Even a medium-term delay leaves a vital piece of the jigsaw missing
from early years of the legacy plan.
Three of the Olympic sports arenas are meant to be transformed into
a training center for athletes and a public school. Their viability
will be hit if adjoining land is a deserted concrete wasteland.
There are doubts too over the contracts themselves. Police are
investigating Olympic contracts for possible wrongdoing because the
same companies that are implicated in a massive corruption scandal
surrounding oil producer Petrobras also built most of the Olympic
projects.
The city continues to repeat that "it's not what Rio can do for the
Games but what the Games can do for Rio."
Zimbalist, the economist, is quick to give his verdict: "That's
baloney."
(Reporting by Stephen Eisenhammer; Additional Reporting by Rodrigo
Viga Gaier; Editing by Kieran Murray)
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