Many U.S. states, cities, missing chance
of lifetime to borrow
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[July 26, 2016]
By Hilary Russ and Robin Respaut
NEW YORK/SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - The 1923
middle school building in Oregon's Corbett School District is so old
that horses and trailers were used to dig the basement. It floods every
winter, the building has no sprinkler system, and there is asbestos and
lead paint in some spots.
Yet this May, voters struck down, for the fourth time, a plan to sell
bonds that would pay for a new building, passing up an opportunity to
finance the new school at a cost that may never be so low again.
Corbett is not alone. The amount of debt sold so far this year in the
$3.7 trillion market for U.S. municipal and state debt is less than in
2015 despite record-low borrowing rates.
The yield on top-rated municipal 30-year bonds hit a bottom of 1.93
percent on July 6. That is far below the 3.27 percent of a year earlier
and even below the comparable Treasury yield thanks to an income tax
exemption granted to U.S. investors on the interest earned on most muni
bonds.
There are several reasons why municipalities are slow in exploiting what
could be a rare window of opportunity created by historically low global
rates and investors' intense hunt for higher returns.
For one, municipal borrowers have to clear hurdles including those at
the ballot box, which makes it hard for them to respond quickly to
changing market conditions.
Some communities are also still aching from recession-era budget cuts
and remain reluctant to take on new debt service costs, however low they
may be. Some are hemmed in by sluggish economies, big pension
liabilities - which crowd out new projects - or both.
"Apart from the very large states and cities that typically are the
leaders … (others) are still not sure that they have the backing of the
voting population or the economic resources to expand their spending,"
said VanEck Global portfolio manager James Colby, who buys municipal
debt for the firm's muni exchange traded funds.
For example, voters in Travis County, Texas, narrowly rejected a $287
million bond that would finance a replacement for an old, overcrowded
courthouse in Austin, in part because of concerns that the chosen
location might be too expensive.
New Jersey halted many state-funded road and bridge projects this month
after lawmakers failed to extend the program that funds them because of
a continuing battle over how to hike gasoline taxes to pay for new
transportation spending.
Dysfunctional politics and fiscal strain also derailed last year's
budget in Illinois, which was a full year late, and in Pennsylvania,
where a nine-month budget impasse left public schools struggling to stay
open.
LESS DEBT
As a result, municipalities and states issued $227 billion in debt
between January 1 and July 19, down 1.6 percent compared with the same
period of 2015, according to Thomson Reuters data. The lion's share of
tax-exempt debt has been issued to refinance older bonds at lower rates,
rather than fund new projects. (Graphic: http://tmsnrt.rs/29MmnHb)
Yet besides big issuers, in economically robust states, such as
California and New York, it is America's most troubled borrowers that
have increased new borrowing.
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A man walks with a dog along a sidewalk one block away from the
boardwalk in Atlantic City, New Jersey January 19, 2016.
REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton
Some are selling bonds now because buyers who previously shunned
them are piling in looking for extra yield. Other communities must
borrow to cover running costs or finish essential projects.
With negative yields in Germany and Japan and a global hunt for
fixed income assets because of market volatility, some foreign
investors are also buying U.S. municipal bonds, even though they do
not get any tax benefits.
"We're the best name in town right now in a very low-yield
environment," Blair Ridley, municipal bond portfolio manager at
Deutsche Asset Management, said during a recent webinar.
Municipal bond funds recorded consecutive net inflows for the last
42 weeks, according to Lipper data, with inflows this year so far
reaching $36 billion, compared with $13.8 billion for the whole of
2015.
Yet prospective issuers still face voter resistance.
"It's a result of the credit crisis, an aversion to debt, and trying
to right size the balance sheet," said Peter Hayes, head of
municipal bonds at BlackRock.
In Corbett, since the $11.9 million bond proposal was voted down,
officials in the 1,100 student school district 20 miles east of
Portland are now considering a costlier private loan that does not
need voter approval.
"I keep telling people the interest rates are so low,"
Superintendent Randy Trani said. "But it's not happening."
Some voters did not want to demolish a historical building. Many are
also over the age of 50 and are averse to more costs, Trani said.
"They have no connection to the school at all. It's hard to get them
to vote to pay more taxes."
(Reporting by Hilary Russ in New York, Robin Respaut in San
Francisco and Karen Pierog in Chicago; Additional reporting by Rory
Carroll in San Francisco; Editing by Daniel Bases and Tomasz
Janowski)
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