Soothing Fed sounds send
stocks to five-week high
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[June 07, 2016]
By Marc Jones
LONDON (Reuters) - World stocks hit
their highest in five weeks on Tuesday as a dovish tone from Janet
Yellen cooled near-term U.S. rate hike bets and a 2016 peak in crude
prices cheered oil firms.
European stocks were up 1.2 percent ahead of U.S. trading where Wall
Street's S&P 500 was expected to hit a fresh seven-month high
when it resumes.
The gains came after the Fed chief Yellen on Monday had called last
week's U.S. jobs numbers disappointing and opted not to repeat her
message that U.S. interest rates could rise again in the coming
months.
That was balanced, however, by her cautioning against attaching too
much significance to the payrolls data in isolation and as she
pointed to other more upbeat signals for the world's largest
economy.
"Yellen has certainly put paid to a rate rise in June but there’s
more going on here than that," said Aberdeen Asset Management's Luke
Bartholomew.
"Her message really is that the U.S. is making consistent progress
towards full employment, that inflation should pick up and there’s
more positives than negatives. This should give those hoping for a
July rate rise some modicum of solace."
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With the Fed suggesting it was in no rush to increase interest
rates, bond yields slipped with 10-year U.S. Treasury yields
retreating to 1.72 percent from 1.84 percent last week. Benchmark
yields are down 63 basis points so far this year.
Key European bonds barely moved with German Bunds already near
all-time lows thanks to the European Central Bank's unprecedented
stimulus efforts.
In the FX markets, Yellen's comments also kept the dollar pinned
near a one-month low against other top currencies.
The Australian dollar <AUD=D4> meanwhile jumped 1 percent after the
Reserve Bank of Australia appeared to raise the bar for further rate
cuts.
Sterling climbed 0.9 percent to $1.4575 as jostling continued over
Britain's June 23 vote on its European Union membership, while the
Swiss franc hit its highest in over a month ahead of an expected
enforced conversion of franc mortgage loans in Poland.
Earlier on Tuesday, Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso told
reporters that he would refrain from commenting on Japan's possible
response in the currency market if the yen, which has surged since
November. were to rise further.
Aso declined to comment on U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew's remark
over the weekend that described recent currency market moves as
"orderly" in a sign of caution toward currency intervention.
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A businessman is reflected in an electronic board displaying Japan's
Nikkei share average outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan, April 18,
2016. REUTERS/Toru Hanai
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OIL ON THE BOIL
Elsewhere, Brent oil prices climbed above $51 a barrel after
crippling attacks on Nigeria's oil industry and data showing fresh
draw downs in U.S. crude stockpiles.
Global crude benchmark futures, which have now surged more than 50
percent this year, hit a new seven-month high of $51.14 per barrel
as U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude topped $50, after rising
2.2 percent on Monday, its largest gain in three weeks.
Nigeria's Bonny Light crude output is down by an estimated 170,000
barrels per day (bpd) following attacks on pipeline infrastructure,
according to one Reuters industry source.
Metals markets were a touch lower too but have also been signaling
lately that the worst of the commodities rout may be over.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange had slipped 0.7
percent to $4,656.50 a ton after it had hit its highest in four
weeks while zinc, another key industry metal, was at its highest in
almost a year. [MET/L]
"This week's rally continues to be supported by a weaker USD and
falling inventories. However, investors will remain cautious leading
into the release of China's trade data tomorrow," ANZ said in a
note.
(Reporting by Marc Jones; Editing by Angus MacSwan)
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