Oil edges higher as OPEC
boost offsets dent from U.S. supply
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[April 19, 2017]
By Libby George and Amanda Cooper
LONDON
(Reuters) - Oil edged higher on Wednesday as OPEC said it was committed
to eroding a global surplus of crude, but increasing shale production in
the United States and still-high global stocks threatened to pull prices
lower.
Brent crude futures were up 27 cents at $55.16 a barrel at 1106
GMT, while U.S. crude futures were up 20 cents at $52.61.
Crude fell in the previous two sessions, but it received a boost from
comments on Wednesday by the secretary-general of the Organization of
the Petroleum Exporting Countries that the group was committed to
cutting inventories to the five-year average.
Analysts warned that prices could quickly turn negative.
"It seems that the optimism in the oil market we have seen since the
last few days of March is running out of steam," wrote Tamas Varga, PVM
Oil Associates analyst, noting concerns about the "ever-increasing rise"
in U.S. shale output.
OPEC and other producers such as Russia agreed to cut output by almost
1.8 million barrels per day in the first half of 2017 to drain a supply
overhang that has persisted for nearly three years.
The cuts, and talk of a possible extension, enabled a rally in major oil
contracts of some 10 percent between March 22 and April 12, Varga said.
Geopolitical concerns have also helped underpin oil.
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Stacked rigs are seen along with other idled oil drilling equipment
at a depot in Dickinson, North Dakota June 26, 2015. REUTERS/Andrew
Cullen
This
week, U.S. President Donald Trump ordered a review of whether the lifting of
sanctions against Iran was in the United States' national interests. A lifting
of certain sanctions against Iran in late 2015 under a nuclear deal allowed
Tehran to more than double its crude exports over 2016.
But U.S. stockpiles - and shale production - have cast doubt on whether the
production cuts were enough. Data from the American Petroleum Institute showed
on Tuesday that although crude inventories fell by 840,000 barrels in the week
to April 14, they remained near record highs.
Gasoline stocks also posted a counter-seasonal build of 1.4 million barrels.
Gasoline margins have since come under downward pressure, which analysts warned
could undermine crude prices as well. nZXN04ZW00]
Official U.S. oil data is due to be published on Wednesday by the Energy
Information Administration (EIA).
"Unless the (EIA) data shows something drastically different, this report should
cause a severe dent in the bullish case (for oil prices)," said Sukrit Vijayakar,
director of energy consultancy Trifecta.
(Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein in SINGAPORE; Editing by Dale Hudson)
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