U.S. jobless claims fall
to near six-month low
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[August 17, 2017]
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of
Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to near a six-month low
last week, pointing to a further tightening in the labor market that
could encourage the Federal Reserve to lay out a plan to start unwinding
its massive bond portfolio.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 12,000 to a
seasonally adjusted 232,000 for the week ended Aug. 12, the Labor
Department said on Thursday.
That was the lowest level since the week ended Feb. 25 when claims fell
to 227,000, which was the best reading since March 1973. Data for the
prior week was unrevised.
It was the 128th week that claims remained below 300,000, a threshold
associated with a robust labor market. That is the longest such stretch
since 1970, when the labor market was smaller. The unemployment rate is
4.3 percent.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims dropping to 240,000 in
the latest week. A Labor Department official said there were no special
factors influencing the claims data and that no states had been
estimated.
The four-week moving average of claims, considered a better measure of
labor market trends as it irons out week-to-week volatility, fell 500 to
240,500 last week.
Last week's claims data covered the survey week for the August nonfarm
payrolls. The four-week average of claims fell 3,500 between the July
and August survey periods, suggesting another month of solid job growth.
Payrolls increased by 209,000 jobs in July. The economy has added 1.29
million jobs this year and the unemployment rate has fallen five-tenths
of a percentage point.
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People wait in line to attend TechFair LA, a technology job fair, in
Los Angeles, California, U.S., January 26, 2017. REUTERS/Lucy
Nicholson/File Photo
Labor market tightness has, however, failed to generate strong wage growth,
contributing to inflation consistently below the Fed's 2 percent target.
Minutes of the U.S. central bank's July 25-26 policy meeting showed policymakers
appeared increasingly cautious about weak inflation, with some urging against
further interest rate increases.
But labor market strength is probably sufficient for the Fed to outline a
proposal to begin offloading its $4.2 trillion portfolio of Treasury bonds and
mortgage-backed securities at its next policy meeting in September.
Most economists expect another rate hike in December. The Fed has increased
borrowing costs twice this year.
Thursday's claims report also showed the number of people still receiving
benefits after an initial week of aid fell by 3,000 to 1.95 million in the week
ended Aug. 5. The so-called continuing claims have now been below the 2 million
mark for 18 straight weeks, pointing to shrinking labor market slack.
The four-week moving average of continuing claims dropped by 6,000 to 1.96
million for the week ended Aug. 5, remaining below the 2 million mark for the
16th consecutive week.
(Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Paul Simao)
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