Europe sucked into sell-off, sterling suffers Brexit
blues
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[December 05, 2017]
By Marc Jones
LONDON (Reuters) - European stocks were
sucked into an increasingly global sell-off on Tuesday, as a rout in
metals struck down miners and high-flying tech stocks suffered another
sharp loss of altitude.
London's FTSE was almost alone in showing resistance as the weaker pound
again provided support, while even data showing a strong end to the year
for most of the euro zone's big economies could not prevent falls
elsewhere. [.EU]
U.S. futures were pointing to another Nasdaq drop later too [.N] amid
worries that Donald Trump's long-promised tax cuts -- which took a big
step forward on Monday -- could strip tech firms of some of their R&D
tax breaks.
"We are now looking at the reconciliation of the two U.S. tax bills,"
said Rabobank Philip Marey, highlighting the tax credits issue for R&D
work.
"Now the bills are out you will get a lot of lobbying, so I do think
this will be altered, but it doesn't help confidence."
Other uncertainties included the possibility of a partial U.S.
government shutdown as early as Friday for funding reasons and the
various scandals swirling around Trump's administration, though there
was plenty else to underpin risk appetite.
The early blitz of European data included the best Spanish industrial
production numbers in 14 months, a rebound by Italy's services sector, a
private sector jump in Sweden and signs of a hiring boom in France.
It was scuffed slightly by a drop in euro zone retail sales though data
out of China overnight had also shown growth in its burgeoning services
sector at a three-month high.
"The euro zone enjoyed a bumper November, setting the scene for a
buoyant end to the year," said Chris Williamson, chief business
economist at IHS Markit, which compiles the PMI data.
IHS Markit's final composite Purchasing Managers' Index for the euro
zone, seen as a good guide to growth, was confirmed at an earlier flash
reading of 57.5, up from October's 56.0.
"Given the strength of order book growth and hiring, as well as the
elevated level of business optimism, the euro zone should start the New
Year on a solid footing," Williamson said.
U.S. PMI figures are due at 1445 GMT. <ECONALLUS>
BREXIT BLUES
The pound hogged most of the action in the currency markets after a
Brexit divorce deal with the European Union was thwarted by the Northern
Irish party that props up Prime Minister Theresa May's minority
government over border concerns.
Sterling briefly skidded back under $1.34 <GBP=> and as far as 88.68
pence per euro <EURGBP=D3>. Another sharp drop in UK car buying had also
dampened the mood though analysts said the pound's drop might only be
temporary.
"The immediate fallout should be limited as markets have become well
versed with the idea that Brexit won't be solved overnight," said ING.
"We remain constructive on GBP."
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Passersby walk past an
electronic board showing market indices outside a brokerage in
Tokyo, Japan, October 23, 2017. REUTERS/Issei Kato
Going in the other direction, the Australian dollar hit a three-week high of
$0.7654 <AUD=D4> as retail sales there bounced and the central bank gave an
upbeat assessment of the economy as it kept its interest rates at 1.5 percent.
The U.S. dollar fetched 112.50 yen, little changed after a brief foray to 113.09
on Monday, which was its highest level in more than two weeks. The euro looked
limp at $1.1846 but was comfortably in its recent $1.1810-1.1960 range.
(For a graphic on 'Sector rotation' click http://reut.rs/2AXyqhO)
METALS BUCKLE
In bond markets, U.S. Treasuries were still lingering below 2.4 percent, while
the euro zone data and signs the ECB's bond buying continues to have favourites
cut the Italian-German spread to its smallest in more than a year.
France and Italy each enjoyed ECB purchases last month that were nearly a
billion euros above their 'capital key' at 10.439 billion euros and 9.077
billion euros. The capital key is the method by which the ECB buys government
bonds for its stimulus in relation to the size of the economy of each member
state.
"The latest ECB buying data underscores the flexibility of the scheme that tends
to benefit the periphery," said Commerzbank rates strategist Christoph Rieger.
The day's other significant moves came in metals markets. Copper, which is often
jumpy around key China data, dropped over 2 percent to a near two-month low,
while nickel took a similar hit and zinc dropped 1 percent. [MET/L]
That was despite UBS raising its forecast for electric vehicles, which
eventually led to an upgrade in the 2020-2021 nickel outlook. The Swiss
brokerage warned, however, that there remained a vast inventory pile of the
metal and its ore.
Oil dipped slightly too after falling more than 1 percent on Monday, buoyed by
expectations of a drop in U.S. crude stockpiles and after last week's deal
between OPEC and other crude producers to extend output curbs.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures traded at $57.09 per barrel, down 0.6
percent for the day. International benchmark Brent futures dropped 0.4 percent
lower to $62.24 a barrel. [O/R]
Some market players fear the killing of former Yemeni president Ali Abdullah
Saleh on Monday may destabilise the impoverished and worn-torn country even
further, threatening the safety of a major shipping route through the Strait of
Bab al-Mandeb on the Red Sea off the Yemeni coast.
(For a graphic on 'Yemen conflicts and oil trade' click http://reut.rs/2AXELK8)
(Additional reporting by Hideyuki Sano in Tokyo and; Dhara Ranasinghe in London;
Editing by Catherine Evans)
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