"Few, if any, states could absorb such new costs," the Center on
Budget and Policy Priorities, a Washington-based, left-leaning think
tank, said in its report.
Republican President Donald Trump has pushed to fulfill a campaign
promise to replace Obamacare, his Democratic predecessor's signature
healthcare plan, with the help of a Republican-controlled Congress.
More details of potential replacements by U.S. House Republicans for
former President Barack Obama's Affordable Care Act emerged on
Friday, though they have yet to agree on a single detailed policy
proposal to repeal and replace the healthcare law.
One scenario to phase out enhanced federal funding would convert the
current system, in which states share the cost of Medicaid enrollees
with the federal government, into fixed payments, or block grants,
sent to the states.
But that would dramatically affect the 31 states and the District of
Columbia that chose to expand Medicaid, the government health
insurance program for low-income Americans, and collect extra
dollars that came with expansion.
Those states would have to find the extra $32 billion themselves to
maintain their expansions, the center said in its report.
The block grant conversion would "shrink federal Medicaid funding
over time, result in even deeper funding cuts when needs increase,
and ultimately place coverage for tens of millions more Americans at
risk," the center said in its report.
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The reduced federal funding would cause the automatic end of the
expansion in seven states. Other expansion states would "almost
certainly drop or substantially scale back their expansions," the
report said.
Medicaid sits at the heart of the federal-state fiscal relationship.
Over $330 billion in federal Medicaid dollars flowed to states in
fiscal year 2016, accounting for more than half of all federal
grants sent to state and local governments and the largest
individual program, according to Standard & Poor's.
(Reporting by Hilary Russ; Editing by Jonathan Oatis)
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