The new International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS 9) aim
to make banks safer and avoid a repeat of the 2007-09 crisis by
requiring them to put aside some money for loan losses much
sooner than at present.
But these rules may add to the woes of banks that have high
levels of soured credit and are already struggling to raise
capital, which forced Spain's Banco Popular <POP.MC> and two
regional Italian banks out of business in recent weeks.
Two-thirds of banks surveyed by the European Banking Authority
said they expected their provisions to go up by up to 18 percent
as a result. The average respondent envisaged a 13 percent
increase.
The expected impact on provisions was lower than in the previous
edition of the survey, which the EBA said may be due to progress
made by banks in adapting to the new standards, better economic
conditions and a change in the survey's question.
"Banks have made further progress on the implementation of IFRS
9 since the previous exercise, but smaller banks are still
lagging behind," EBA said.
It warned, in particular, that banks had scaled back plans to
carry out parallel runs, where they apply the old and new
accounting rules at the same time.
The lenders surveyed also expected the new standards to force
them to recognize losses on existing loans that, while not
defaulted, are at an increasing risk of not being repaid.
This would shave up to 75 basis points off their own funds, as
measured by its Common Equity Tier 1 ratio, for the vast
majority of respondents and 45 basis points on average, the
survey showed, with smaller banks faring worse.
The new rules are due to kick in on Jan. 1, 2018 but heavy
pushback by the banking lobby, particularly in Italy, meant
European lawmakers were now considering a phase-in period over
three years.
Fitch Ratings said earlier this year it saw Irish, Spanish and
Italian banks as the most vulnerable among those that use
internal ratings for credit.
(Reporting By Francesco Canepa; Editing by Toby Chopra)
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