Loan growth, better
spreads fail to impress U.S. bank investors
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[July 15, 2017]
By David Henry and Dan Freed
NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. banks are
starting to see some long-awaited benefits of higher interest rates,
with four of the largest lenders beating analysts' quarterly profit
expectations on Friday by raising loan prices without paying much more
for deposits.
But shares of JPMorgan Chase & Co <JPM.N>, Wells Fargo & Co <WFC.N>,
Citigroup Inc <C.N> and PNC Financial Services Group Inc <PNC.N> were
down in afternoon trading. Investors had wanted to see even better
results and hear a sunnier outlook from executives, analysts said.
"Bank stocks were due for a breather," Edward Jones analyst Shannon
Stemm told Reuters. "They had a lot of optimism priced into the shares
as investors got excited about rising interest rates and the prospect
for regulatory reform. However, the fundamental picture is more mixed."
JPMorgan, for instance, reported loan growth, deposit growth and higher
net interest income, which measures the difference between its cost of
funding and the revenue it generates from those funds. Overall, its
earnings rose 13 percent.
However, management now expects net interest income to rise by $4
billion this year, down from a previous outlook of $4.5 billion, due to
a combination of mortgage adjustments, weakness in markets-related
income, and unexpected "downward pressure" on 10-year bonds.
As JPMorgan's stock dropped 1.1 percent to $92.05, Citigroup bank stock
analyst Keith Horowitz said investors were disappointed by the gloomier
outlook, and had "a high bar priced into the stock."
The Federal Reserve has raised rates three times since the second
quarter of last year, with the latest increase coming in June. Rising
rates are generally good for banks, but because there have been uneven
movements in short- and long-term rates, lenders have not seen income
grow as quickly as investors expected.
Wells Fargo, Citigroup and PNC each reported year-over-year increases in
their loan books. Wells and PNC said the spread between what they pay
for deposits and charge for loans had grown, thanks to higher rates.
They all beat analysts' average estimates for earnings per share.
But Wells Fargo's revenue came in shy of expectations, and analysts
questioned executives about elevated expenses on a conference call. Its
shares were down 1.2 percent at $54.94.
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People walk beneath a Citibank branch logo in the financial
district of San Francisco, California July 17, 2009. REUTERS/Robert
Galbraith/File Photo
Citigroup's picture was muddied by the nature of its business.
The bank relies less on deposits from consumers, who have not demanded higher
rates as quickly as institutional customers. A big chunk of its loan growth came
from credit cards that do not carry balances, meaning it does not earn interest
from those loans.
Chief Financial Officer John Gerspach encouraged analysts to think not just
about income tied directly to those loans, but other business it generates from
underlying customers.
"But we like the business that we've been putting on," he said. "We certainly
would rather have loan growth than non-loan growth."
Citi shares were down 0.7 percent at $66.54.
PNC showed particular strength in commercial loans, and its net interest income
rose 5 percent as deposit costs rose less than the yields it earned. The bank
plans to expand its corporate lending business, and stuck with its prior
forecast that its loan book will grow in the mid-single digits for the full
year.
But even that positive outlook generated some surprise. Its shares were down 0.4
percent in afternoon trading at $126.78.
"You maintained the full year '17 guidance," Evercore ISI analyst John Pancari
said on a conference call with management. "Why not up?"
Management is "still comfortable" with the guidance offered earlier in the year,
Chief Financial Officer Robert Reilly said.
(Reporting by David Henry and Dan Freed; Additional Reporting by Olivia Oran and
Sweta Singh; Writing by Lauren Tara LaCapra; editing by Bernard Orr)
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