Ratings aside, stage racing again takes center stage
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[July 18, 2017]
By Jonathan Ingram, The Sports Xchange
Those lapsed NASCAR fans who don't like this year's new stage racing
and championship points system are going to miss an interesting
final showdown during the next seven races that will determine the
16 drivers who advance to the postseason.
I like the stages, because they force drivers to run hard throughout
the race and reward those who do, especially the fastest and most
consistent. Isn't that what a championship is supposed to be about?
And, oh yes, it's a more entertaining approach and makes for better
TV.
So why the lower TV ratings?
A meaningful poll is not available. But apparently the lapsed fans
are the ones who account for the same missing viewers race after
race this year. They refuse to accept the change to stages. This
explains the consistency to the lower ratings. In other words, the
ratings are missing the same folks each week. This is decidedly
different from an ever-increasing downhill plunge.
Those who continue to tune in regularly apparently like the stage
racing. It accounted for an interesting race on Sunday at New
Hampshire Motor Speedway, where it's tough to pass. The stages
jumbled the field before Denny Hamlin won by following a track
position strategy. He held off -- barely -- Kyle Larson, whose team
was playing the stages for all the points they were worth.
Hamlin's goal was to win his first race in 2017 to get the
guaranteed advancement to the playoffs and to break Joe Gibbs
Racing's 20-race losing streak. To gain an edge, he and crew chief
Mike Wheeler sacrificed points by pitting early in Stage 1, then
moved to the front at the re-start.
"We weren't the fastest car all race long," said Wheeler. "We had a
top-five car. There was probably one or two guys a little bit
faster, but we were in contention all day and made it happen."
Larson and his Chip Ganassi-owned team, by contrast, were trying to
recover from last week's severe points penalty and overtake Martin
Truex Jr. for the 26-race regular-season points championship. Hence,
the emphasis on Stage 1 and 2 points.
The Ganassi team also liked its chances of Larson winning on
straight speed. At the finish, Chevy driver Larson came within 0.509
seconds of catching Hamlin's Toyota. This despite starting 39th and
last due to yet another penalty for illegal equipment -- a rear deck
fin -- used in qualifying.
Larson had a late-race moment as he was reeling in Hamlin and was
running out of laps. "What do you want me to do?" the exasperated
driver asked his team on the radio.
In other words, an evidently tired Larson was asking what more he
could accomplish after coming from the back and getting points in
each stage? Ultimately, he couldn't beat the combination of strategy
and speed by Hamlin and his Joe Gibbs Racing team. Hamlin restarted
fourth at the last green flag -- one position ahead of Larson -- and
broke away to a two-second lead.
"I was catching him a couple tenths of a lap there," said Larson.
"And then it seemed like when I got kind of close there, I don't
know, within four or five car lengths at the end, my lap times kind
of evened off a little bit with him. I started getting too tight on
exit, and I couldn't carry the speed on exit like I needed to."
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It was another heroic performance by the 24-year-old
Larson, who is already a fan favorite -- even if his frustration
showed at the end. It was the third time Larson has started at the
rear and finished second this season. The Ganassi team at least
demonstrated that its speed wasn't coming from the illegal parts
found after the Kentucky race or in qualifying at Loudon.
Truex, meanwhile, led early from the pole and won the
first stage, taking his league-leading 14th playoff bonus point. His
Toyota cut a tire, which forced an unscheduled pit stop, and then
developed handling issues at the finish of a race where he led 139
laps, the most of any driver.
Due to the stage points system, Truex ended up with more points
compared to Larson (49 to 45) despite finishing one position behind
him. Hamlin, for his part, got no stage playoff bonus point and
earned just two points more than Truex (51 to 49). Those
regular-season points, of course, help determine who gets the most
playoff bonus points after 26 races.
The outcome at Loudon all seems like fair rules of engagement,
especially since Hamlin earned a playoff spot and the five playoff
bonus points that go to the winner. The new system had everybody
pushing from start to finish and went a long way to determining who
could sustain the pace and consistency best.
Watching Larson push from the back to the front to get points so
often this year is almost reason enough to endorse the stages.
One driver whose team failed on the strategy side was Matt Kenseth,
who opted for a two-tire change when all his competition went for
four on the final stop. Kenseth and his crew need to gamble a bit,
because he's been behind on stage points and his chances of moving
to the playoffs are precarious in his final season at Joe Gibbs
Racing.
Despite the bad call on tires and a speeding penalty for Kyle Busch,
the Gibbs team was back in its 2016 form. All four Toyotas entered
by the team were competitive, including a sixth-place finish by
rookie Daniel Suarez. Busch looked to have the winning combination
until he goofed by 0.01 mph on the final trip down the pit road.
After sending four drivers to the postseason in 2016, JGR now has
one driver assured of making it to the playoffs. Busch, who won the
second stage, is almost a lock due to his third-place points
standings and constant threats to win a race. That leaves Kenseth
currently locked in a battle with his old non-friend Joey Logano for
the final position in the 16-man field.
The way the stage points work, there's no way to predict who might
come out ahead. If Logano, who trails Kenseth by 52 points, has one
good race that includes stage points, and Kenseth has one poor
finish, they would be neck-to-neck in a heartbeat.
The wild card of "win and you're in" is always in play, too.
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