Fourth-quarter economic
growth revised up to 2.1 percent
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[March 30, 2017]
WASHINGTON,
March 30 (Reuters) - - U.S. economic growth slowed less than previously
reported in the fourth quarter amid robust consumer spending that was
partially met with a rise in imports.
Gross domestic product increased at a 2.1 percent annualized rate
instead of the previously reported 1.9 percent pace, the Commerce
Department said on Thursday in its third GDP estimate for the period.
There are indications that activity moderated further at the start of
2017.
The government also said that corporate profits after tax with inventory
valuation and capital consumption adjustments increased at an annual
rate of 2.3 percent in the fourth quarter after rising at a 6.7 percent
pace in the third quarter.
Profits were held back by a $4.95 billion settlement between the U.S.
subsidiary of Volkswagen and the federal and state governments for
violation of environmental regulations.
Data such as trade, consumer and construction spending suggest the
economy struggled to regain momentum early in the first quarter. The
Atlanta Federal Reserve is forecasting GDP rising at a rate of 1.0
percent in the first quarter.
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With the labor market near full employment, the data showing slowing
growth likely understates the health of the economy. GDP tends to be
weaker in the first quarter because of calculation issues the government
has acknowledged and is trying to resolve.
The economy grew at a 3.5 percent rate in the third quarter. It expanded
1.6 percent for all of 2016, its worst performance since 2011, after
growing 2.6 percent in 2015.
The economy's sluggish performance poses a challenge to President Donald
Trump, who has vowed to boost annual economic growth to 4 percent by
slashing taxes, increasing infrastructure spending and cutting
regulations. The Trump administration has offered few details on its
economic policies.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected fourth-quarter GDP would be
revised up to a 2.0 percent rate.
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Commuters wait to ride New York City Subway in New York, December
12, 2013. REUTERS/Eric Thayer
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Growth
in consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic
activity, was revised to a 3.5 percent rate in the fourth quarter. It was
previously reported to have risen at a 3.0 percent rate.
Some
of the increase in demand was met with imports, which increased at a 9.0 percent
rate rather than the 8.5 percent pace reported last month. Exports declined more
than previously estimated, leaving a trade deficit that subtracted 1.82
percentage point from GDP growth as previously reported.
There was an upward revision to inventory investment. Businesses accumulated
inventories at a rate of $49.6 billion in the last quarter, instead of the
previously reported $46.2 billion. Inventory investment added 1.01 percentage
point to GDP growth, up from the 0.94 percentage point estimated last month.
Business investment was revised lower to reflect a more modest pace of spending
on intellectual property, which increased at a 1.3 percent rate instead of the
previously estimated 4.5 percent rate. There were no revisions to spending on
equipment.
Investment in nonresidential structures was revised to show it falling at a less
steep 1.9 percent pace in the fourth quarter. It was previously reported to have
declined at a 4.5 percent rate.
(Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Paul Simao)
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