The
principal impact of a border tax adjustment would be to raise
the price of domestic crude compared with international grades
such as Brent.
"It would blow out the Brent/WTI spread. You could see WTI trade
$15 above Brent," Currie told the S&P Global Platts Crude
conference.
The premium of Brent crude futures over West Texas Intermediate
(WTI) futures is currently around $2.81 a barrel.
The government of President Donald Trump has considered a
Republican proposal for a border tax adjustment system that
would levy a 20 percent tax on all imports while exempting
exports.
Domestic U.S. crude prices would automatically rise, pushing up
the cost of anything from gasoline to plastics.
Border tax advocates claim the impact of higher import costs and
perceived subsidy for exports would be a rise in the real
exchange rate of the U.S. dollar.
"For every non-commodity, the dollar does all the work so that
the consumer does not pay the price ... oil does not have that
leverage," Currie said.
(Reporting by Julia Payne and Amanda Cooper, editing by Louise
Heavens)
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