Old machines show why
Trump tax breaks may not spark new company spending
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[May 18, 2017]
By Timothy Aeppel
CLEVELAND
(Reuters) - Hanging on the wall of David Shippoli’s office at a
sprawling factory here is his company’s annual scavenger award, a
stuffed hyena head, given to the employee who finds the cheapest way to
execute an investment project in the past year.
Shippoli, a manufacturing engineer at Dan T. Moore Co., a privately-held
company which operates nine factories across Ohio and Indiana, won the
prize for finding used machines that were a fraction of the cost of
buying them new.
Graphic: http://tmsnrt.rs/2rulMhl
He is a fan of President Donald Trump’s policies and even propped a
bright red “Make America Great Again” hat on the hyena during the
campaign. But Shippoli embodies a mindset that exists across industrial
America that will make it hard to boost business investment, even if the
corporate tax breaks floated recently by the Trump administration come
through.
“I don’t know why anyone would buy new equipment when there’s so much
stuff out there that’s perfectly capable of doing the job,” he said.
Many U.S. companies emerged from the last recession extremely wary of
spending on buildings and expensive new equipment, unless it was sure
the returns would justify it.
Trump Administration officials forecast torrid economic growth on the
back of the windfall U.S. companies would get if Trump’s plan to cut
corporate tax rates and slash taxes on cash parked overseas became law.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and White House economic advisor
Gary Cohn met on Wednesday with the full Senate Finance Committee about
the administration's framework for tax reform.
CEOs certainly are enthusiastic about the prospect of tax reform. A
recent survey by the Business Roundtable - a group representing major
U.S. corporations - found more than eight out of ten said they thought
tax reform would prompt companies to boost capital spending. Seventy-six
percent said it would fuel hiring.
And some companies such as General Electric Co <GE.N> are making big
bets that new digital systems will improve efficiency on factory floors.
But it is unclear how they would use the extra cash if it doesn’t lead
to a jump in economic growth. Previous tax holidays aimed at getting
companies to repatriate foreign savings have done little to boost
investment in the U.S.
“Nobody builds a new factory unless they need the capacity” and tax
breaks won’t change that, said Susan Helper, an economist at Case
Western Reserve University, who has studied how companies curbed their
spending habits in recent years.
She notes that U.S. companies are sitting on plenty of cash - $1.8
trillion, according to Moody’s Investors Service - so it is not that
they lack resources, she says. What is missing is the kind of business
opportunities that justify the spending.
ARCONIC’S 80 YEAR-OLD MACHINES
It’s not just smaller companies and startups that appreciate age in some
industrial machines.
Across town, for instance, at Arconic Inc’s <ARNC.N> sprawling Cleveland
Works, workers still use a 1930s metal press confiscated from Germany
after World War II to stamp out aluminum parts. Arconic, based in New
York, was created last year when Alcoa Inc <AA.N> split in two -
creating Alcoa Corp <AA.N> and Arconic, which took the downstream
aluminum processing business.
Arconic has plenty of other vintage machines, including an even larger
50-ton press in Cleveland built in the 1950s, which it recently spent
$100 million completely renovating. The update included fixing metal
parts that had begun to crack as well as new controls that made it more
precise.
This new style of thrift is visible in the numbers. The average age of
industrial equipment in the U.S. has gone up steadily over the last
decade and now hovers at levels not seen since the 1940s. The average
age of a machine is 10 years, according the Bureau o f Economic
Analysis, well above the seven or eight-year range that was common
during the 1960s and 1970s.
[to top of second column] |
These computer-controlled cutting machines at Gem Tool, which were
bought used by the company, owned by Dan T. Moore Company,
specializes in machining high-precision parts for other
manufacturers, in Cleveland, Ohio, U.S. shown in this image released
on May 17, 2017. Courtesy Dan T. Moore Company/Handout via REUTERS
For a graphic, click http://tmsnrt.rs/2qWxnWz
The trend isn’t limited to factory machines. The average age of
information processing equipment used by businesses, which includes
computers as well as communications devices, has drifted up steadily
since the year 2000 and now stands at five years—the highest level since
the dawn of the computer age.
“You have to be frugal to survive,” said Steve Peplin, CEO of privately
held Talan Products Inc., which sells about $40 million in building
materials each year. When he needed a new press recently, he bought an
used machine and sent it to a company that specializes in modernizing
such equipment.
“It was literally rebuilt,” he said. “It got new high-efficiency motors
and all computer controls.” The reason to go down that road was simple:
The whole project cost about $1.5 million versus the $2.5 million he was
quoted to buy a new machine.
BUYING USED
The big coup last year for Dan T. Moore’s Shippoli was buying used
machines from a factory in California that is allowing him to set up a
new production line for $140,000 instead of the $3 million it would have
cost new. The line will produce an insulated material the company forms
into different shapes and aims to sell to carmakers and other large
manufacturers.
Case Western’s Helper said there’s “good thrift and bad thrift.” If
companies refuse to invest in new capabilities or processes, that is bad
because it holds back productivity gains. Good thrift, by contrast, is
the growing recognition that existing industrial machines are often good
enough to get the job done, so splurging on new equipment isn’t
necessary.
Dan Moore, the CEO of Shippoli’s company, has made the former approach
almost a cult at his operations.
One of his favorite sayings is that “steel doesn’t know how old it is,”
meaning the basic components of many industrial machines remain useful
for decades. The company will typically invest in new computer controls
and other components to update the machines it buys. Not only does Moore
reward people who find ways to use old machines to meet new needs, he
has been known to demote managers who throw away machines that could be
salvaged.
One recent day, he led the way through one of his favorite places: HGR
Industrial Surplus, a sprawling warehouse that sells old machines on the
gritty industrial east side of Cleveland.
“This is one of the secrets of how you can create new businesses in
Cleveland,” he said, walking past rows of hydraulic presses, some still
smudged with oil from their previous life in a now-defunct factory.
It makes sense to use old machines to get new operations off the ground,
because it minimizes the risk if the business doesn’t take off,
according to Moore.
For Windsor Ford, the company’s vice-president of acquisitions, the idea
of pitching a project to his CEO that involves buying new equipment
isn’t unheard of, but it’s “terrifying.”
“All I can say is you better have data to back it up,” he said.
(Editing by Edward Tobin)
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