Commodity currencies dip
as OPEC underwhelms
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[May 25, 2017]
By Ritvik Carvalho
LONDON
(Reuters) - The Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollars all fell
solidly on Thursday, tracking a drop in oil prices as OPEC countries
meeting in Vienna looked like they would go no further with production
cuts than previously expected by markets.
The U.S. dollar, which has steadied after its worst week in more than a
year, fell 0.1 percent against the index measuring its broader strength
while gaining marginally to 111.75 yen <JPY=> and $1.1213 <EUR=> per
euro respectively.
The Canadian equivalent earlier hit a one-month high of C$1.3385 <CAD=>
after the Bank of Canada gave a more upbeat assessment of the Canadian
economy than some investors expected.
But as oil prices struggled to get back into positive territory for the
day on the sidelines of the OPEC meeting, it gave up its gains to trade
0.2 percent lower at C$1.3427.
The Norwegian crown, another oil-linked currency also fell initially,
before recovering to stand 0.1 percent higher to 9.3320 crowns per euro.
"The talk in the last 24 hours was it going to be a 9 month extension
(to oil production cuts) so you can make a reasonable enough argument
that everybody was positioned for it," said Simon Derrick, strategist at
Bank of New York Mellon in London.
"That said, I think it (the move) is more to do with a short term dollar
bounce."
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A New Zealand ten dollar note sits underneath a United States one
dollar bill in the window of a currency exchange teller in Sydney,
Australia, March 10, 2016. REUTERS/David Gray/File Photo
The
dollar had begun Thursday on the defensive, following Federal Reserve minutes
that dialled down some expectations of the central bank hiking interest rates
soon.
"Some of those (hawkish) expectations were a bit disappointed following the
minutes and we've seen the dollar ease off since. That's also because it's been
quite vulnerable recently," said Alexandra Russell-Oliver, currency analyst at
Caxton FX in London.
The euro has enjoyed a bull run this month, driven by ebbing political concerns
over France and upbeat batches of economic data that have strengthened
expectations for a tightening of central bank monetary policy later this year.
After a steady climb in morning trade in Europe, the single currency lost steam
and traded 0.1 percent lower on the day and around half a cent below Tuesday's
6-1/2-month peak of $1.1268.
The Australian dollar was half a percent lower at $0.7466 after Wednesday's fall
to $0.7443 following rating agency Moody's downgrade of China. The Australian
dollar is often used as a liquid proxy for China-related trades but, like the
Canadian dollar, tends closely to track moves in major commodities prices.
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