Oil rallies on Chinese import boost and Mideast tensions
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[October 13, 2017]
By Libby George
LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices firmed on
Friday as bullish news from strong Chinese oil imports to turmoil in the
Middle East put Brent on track for a more than 3 percent weekly gain.
The developments added to other signs that the market was finally
rebalancing after years of excess.
Brent was at $57.42 at 1139 GMT, up $1.17. U.S. West Texas Intermediate
(WTI) crude was at $51.59 per barrel, up 99 cents from its last
settlement.
The contracts were on track for weekly gains of more than 3 percent and
4 percent, respectively.
Chinese oil imports hit 9 million barrels per day (bpd) in September,
data showed on Friday. Imports averaged 8.5 million bpd between January
and September, solidifying China's position as the world's biggest oil
importer.
"We woke up with the strong data from China. That's on the supportive
side," said Olivier Jakob, managing director of PetroMatrix.
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China's huge imports have been strongly driven by purchases for its
strategic petroleum reserves (SPR).
The nation has spent around $24 billion on building its crude reserves
since 2015 and now holds around 850 million barrels of oil in inventory,
according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).
Unrest in Iraq, and possible U.S. action on the Iran nuclear deal, also
underpinned prices.
On Friday, local television reported that tens of thousands of Kurdish
fighters had deployed in the Kirkuk oil region to confront possible
"threats" from Iraqi forces.
Tensions between the two, which traders fear could cut off oil exports
from the region, have been building since Iraq's Kurds overwhelmingly
backed independence in a Sept. 25 vote.
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A oil pump is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg,
France, October 6, 2017 . REUTERS/Christian Hartmann
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Later on Friday, U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to announce that he
will not certify the 2015 Iran nuclear deal. The deal has to be re-certified
every 90 days and is due for renewal on Sunday.
The step would give the U.S. Congress 60 days to decide whether to impose
sanctions, but Iran's parliament speaker told the TASS news agency that
decertification would "be the end" of the deal and cause "global chaos".
"U.S. sanctions could cut off a lot of Iranian oil trade finance," FGE President
Jeff Brown told Reuters this week.
Despite the bullish signals, Bernstein Research said that the Organization of
the Petroleum Exporting Countries needed to extend its agreement to reduce oil
output beyond its current March 2018 expiry date in order to clear stocks.
OPEC, with other producers including Russia, have agreed to production cuts of
1.8 million bpd.
"OPEC will not achieve normalized inventory levels before cuts expire at the end
of March," Bernstein analysts said, adding: "We believe an extension of cuts
through 2018 should allow inventories to reach normalized levels before the end
of 2018".
(Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein in Singapore; editing by Jason Neely)
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