Thirty years ago this week, Wall Street
slid into the abyss
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[October 19, 2017]
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Thirty years ago,
before heading to work at the New York Stock Exchange, Peter Kenny left
his home in lower Manhattan and made a detour to the nearby Our Lady of
Victory church to pray to St. Jude, the Roman Catholic patron saint of
desperate and lost causes.
The reason was the stock market crash known as "Black Monday" on October
19, 1987.
"Blessed mother get me through this," he prayed.
Kenny, now senior market strategist at Global Markets Advisory Group in
New York, was a newly minted member of the New York Stock Exchange,
having joined the exchange in February that year. He was stunned by the
events that unfolded the previous day, the worst trading day in U.S.
history.
"I don’t think anyone was prepared for what actually transpired in the
overseas markets, which led to the bloodbath on Monday," said Kenny.
When it was over, the Dow Jones Industrial Average <.DJI> had lost 22.6
percent in one day, equivalent to a drop of about 5,200 points in the
index today. The benchmark U.S. S&P 500 index <.SPX> plunged 20.5
percent on Black Monday, equal to a drop of over 520 points today, and
the Nasdaq dropped 11.4 percent, comparable to a drop of about 750
points.
In 1987 U.S. stock prices had climbed steadily all year, as they have in
2017, with each of the three major U.S. indexes hitting record highs in
late August. But September turned into a difficult month, with each
index falling more than 2.0 percent, though not by enough to raise alarm
bells among investors.
But as the calendar flipped to October, the selling in U.S. equity
markets intensified. The Dow Jones Industrial Average <.DJI> and S&P 500
<.SPX> fell more than 9.0 percent in the week before Black Monday.
On the morning of Monday, October 19, 1987, Art Hogan, then a floor
broker at the Boston Stock Exchange, expected a possible rebound for
stock prices. Nothing had prepared him for what was to unfold.
"It was clear in that first hour... this was going to be as bad as we’ve
seen in our lifetimes," said Hogan, now chief market strategist at
Wunderlich Securities in New York.
Many describe the events of Black Monday as the first instance of
computer trading gone haywire, caused by the use of portfolio insurance,
a hedging strategy against market declines that involves selling short
in stock index futures.
The prior week's fall in U.S. stocks led to selling by investors in
Asian markets to limit losses. Those losses then signaled investors in
Europe to sell, which caused increased selling by the time U.S. markets
were to open on Black Monday.
"It was like nobody wanted to question the computer," said Ken Polcari,
director of the NYSE floor division at O’Neil Securities in New York,
who was a 26-year-old in his second year as a member of the NYSE.
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Traders on Black Monday. REUTERS/Courtesy NYSE
"Then what happens is it feeds on itself because as the prices got
worse the risk management software kept spitting out a new message -
You need to sell more," said Polcari.
Portfolio insurance, the short selling of stock index futures to
protect against a decline in value, caused computerized program
trading to issue sell orders as a safeguard against more losses.
Instead, losses intensified, causing even more sell orders in a
feedback loop.
With computer trading in its infancy, the floor of the NYSE was
filled with more members than today, with trades executed by hand on
paper. Thousands of traders scrambled to handle the tidal wave of
selling, with volumes so extreme prices were delayed by hours,
further complicating the process.
"The opening was 90 minutes (delayed), so you knew there was a lot
of influx of orders, the futures (contracts) were down, everything
was down, so we knew we were in for a rough ride," said Peter Costa,
president at Empire Executions Inc in New York, who has been working
on the trading floor since 1981.
The widespread selling and delay in reporting prices also hit the
stock options market, said Gordon Charlop, a managing director at
Rosenblatt Securities in New York who was trading options on the
American Exchange at the time of the crash.
"The options market slowed down to a crawl because nobody could
really figure out how to derive options prices from equities because
we weren’t sure what the equity prices were," said Charlop.
Of the 30 companies whose stocks are in the Dow today, slightly less
than half were in the index at the time. American Express <AXP.N>
lost 26.2 percent on Black Monday, Procter & Gamble <PG.N> plunged
27.8 percent, and Exxon Mobil <XOM.N> tumbled 23.4 percent.
"The price movements in the stocks were not like anything I had ever
seen prior to that day, or since that day, in fact," said Ted
Weisberg, floor trader with Seaport Securities in New York, who has
been a member of the exchange since 1969.
"It was in fact the scariest day, the most emotional day, except
when we came back to work after September 11, that I have ever spent
on the trading floor."
(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; editing by Clive McKeef and Dan
Grebler)
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