Ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries, Russia and other producers meet in Vienna on Friday
and are due to consider extending output cuts that began in
January.
OPEC and its allies have agreed to reduce output by about 1.8
million barrels per day (bpd) until March 2018 in an attempt to
empty inventories. Many analysts now expect them to extend the
deal, possibly to the end of next year.
"The bull run in the oil market is running out of steam as
unease builds ahead of tomorrow’s OPEC/non-OPEC meeting," said
Stephen Brennock, analyst at London brokerage PVM Oil
Associates.
"The (oil futures) contracts have performed well in recent
sessions but are struggling for traction," Brennock added.
Brent crude oil <LCOc1> was down 40 cents at $55.89 a barrel by
1115 GMT. U.S. light crude was 50 cents lower at $50.19.
Both contracts have risen more than 15 percent over the last
three months as global oil supply has tightened.
OPEC's efforts have been hampered by higher production in some
other parts of the world, including the United States, where
shale oil production is reaching record highs.
Recent hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico have also pushed up
crude oil inventories in some parts of the United States as U.S.
refineries have been shut by flooding.
U.S. commercial crude oil stocks <C-STK-T-EIA> rose for a third
straight week, building by 4.6 million barrels in the week
ending Sept. 15 to 472.83 million barrels. [EIA/S]
U.S. oil production has reached 9.51 million bpd, up from 8.78
million bpd directly after Hurricane Harvey hit the U.S. Gulf
Coast. <C-OUT-T-EIA>
U.S. crude received some support from a strong draw in gasoline
stocks by 2.1 million barrels to 216.19 million barrels, traders
said. <aUSEIAGS>
The structure of oil futures prices suggests OPEC production
cuts are beginning to have an impact, analysts say.
Front-month Brent futures have risen sharply in recent months,
much more than forward prices. This has changed the Brent price
curve <0#LCO:>, moving it into what traders call
"backwardation", when prices for immediate delivery are higher
than prices for later barrels.
The shift is seen as an indicator of a tightening market as it
encourages the immediate sale of oil rather than holding it in
storage.
(Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein in Singapore; Editing
by Greg Mahlich)
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