China stockpiles alumina for export as supply crunch drives record prices

[April 19, 2018]   By Melanie Burton

MELBOURNE (Reuters) - Chinese traders are preparing to export alumina to reap the profits from record prices for spot cargoes after the United States imposed sanctions on Russia's United Company Rusal, among the biggest producers of the aluminum raw material.

China is the world's the biggest producer and consumer of alumina, a compound extracted from bauxite ore that is then smelted into aluminum metal.

The Rusal sanctions have upended the aluminum supply chain, as companies cut contracts to use Rusal metal, leaving producers of cans or auto parts scrambling for supplies, which is likely to feed into higher costs for end users such as automakers, like Toyota, or beer can makers like Ball.

Rusal, the world's second-biggest aluminum producer, produces about 6 percent of the global alumina supply and the sanctions have exacerbated a shortfall in the market after a plant in Brazil was forced to halve output earlier in the year.

A logistics source with operations in China confirmed trading houses were preparing alumina for export.

"It hasn't been exported yet. It's being stockpiled for export" the source said.

Reuters was unable to confirm the quantities on hand.

Exports in April may remain small but they could increase to between 120,000 to 180,000 tonnes for May, said Wan Ling, an analyst at metals consultancy CRU.

"There are signs that China will start exporting alumina," said Wan. "Because the arbitrage is quite big, some trading houses in China have started to export alumina from ports in China, from bonded warehouses and from alumina refineries, from some ports in Shandong province and from Guangxi Province."

Aluminum makers with alumina refineries in Shandong include a plant in Zibo owned by Aluminum Corp of China, or Chalco, a China Hongqiao Ltd refinery in Binzhou and a refinery operated by Chiping Xinfa Huayu Alumina Co in Liaocheng. All three companies did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
 

Workers lay alumina particles inside an air treatment facility at an oxygen production plant in Ma'anshan, Anhui province, China July 19, 2017. Picture taken July 19, 2017. China Daily via

The Chinese companies are hoping to cash in on surging alumina prices. An alumina cargo bound for Brazil for May delivery sold at $800 per tonne on Wednesday, said Wan.

This is a 45 percent increase from $550 a tonne for Australian cargoes that was reported on Wednesday. A typical alumina shipment carries 30,000 tonnes of metal.

"We have never seen these prices before. Prices may stay strong or go higher," said Wan.

U.S. aluminum producer Alcoa said Wednesday during its first-quarter results call that there was a possibility of Chinese alumina exports but it could not confirm there was any supply exiting China yet.

Alcoa forecasts a global alumina market deficit of between 300,000 to 1.1 million metric tonnes this year, primarily due to supply disruptions in the Atlantic region.

Global alumina supply is forecast to be 126 million tonnes this year, according to UBS.

China exported 55,737 tonnes of alumina last year, according to data from the General Administration of Customs.

(Reporting by Melanie Burton in MELBOURNE. Additional reporting by Tom Daly in SHANGHAI; Editing by Christian Schmollinger)

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