Greece wants clean break from lenders, preparing own
post-bailout plan: finance minister
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[January 31, 2018]
By Michele Kambas and Renee Maltezou
ATHENS (Reuters) - Greece expects to make a
clean break with official lenders when its international bailout expires
in August and has no reason to seek a precautionary credit line, its
finance minister has told Reuters.
Instead, Euclid Tsakalotos said in an interview, the country is building
up its own protective buffer that, along with unused European bailout
funds, will cover Greece "for well over a year", if needed.
In coming months, he said, the country would be preparing its own
post-bailout plan with an emphasis on reforms, social policies and
growth.
He also said discussions would soon commence with euro zone lenders on
debt relief along the lines of a French proposal to link the level of
debt restructuring to economic performance.
"We feel we have built credibility over the last three years,"
Tsakalotos said.
Greece is close to emerging from a sovereign debt crisis that plunged
the economy into its biggest depression in decades, threatening to
rupture the euro zone. It has received a record 260 billion euros in
repeated bailouts since 2010.
The leftist-led government of Alexis Tsipras has vowed to end the
humiliation of austerity imposed on Greece by its international lenders,
but the nation still has a debt burden of 178 percent of economic output
and some European policymakers believe Athens cannot go it alone without
debt relief and a standby line of credit.
A precautionary credit line, though, would come with yet more conditions
attached, so Athens is proposing its own plan. It is also creating a
safety net of up to 19 billion euros drawn from leftover, unused bailout
funds and from bond issues.
Post-program surveillance schemes were common to other European member
states which sought financial aid, Tsakalotos said. But Greece's own
post-bailout plan would be more pro-active.
It would, he said, show lenders and the markets that Greece had
ownership over its own program of future reforms and growth strategies,
rather than Brussels.
"We are thinking, by Easter, of preparing our own plan .. to show both
the institutions but also the markets that it is our program, it has
ownership... it hasn't been imposed, it's not a matter of compromise,"
he said.
NO PRECAUTIONARY LINE NEEDED
Tsipras' left-led coalition shocked markets and its lenders when it was
catapulted to power in 2015 promising to reverse reforms and tear up the
country's bailouts.
But it was later forced to cave into lenders' demands for more austerity
under a new rescue package. That 86-billion euro loan package ends in
August.
Tsakalotos said that the economy was turning a corner and the country
was ready to stand on its own feet soon.
"We've been outperforming our fiscal targets, the economy is returning,"
he said. "To those people who think we need something more, like a
precautionary credit line or whatever, they are just pushing the key
question back and I don't see any reason for that," Tsakalotos said.
The International Monetary Fund has not yet decided if it will
participate in Greece's latest bailout program, having repeatedly voiced
concern at the sustainability of the country's debt pile.
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Greek Finance Minister Euclid Tsakalotos speaks during an interview
with Reuters at his office in the Finance ministry in Athens,
Greece, January 30, 2018. REUTERS/Costas Baltas
"I think their inclination and their strategy is to get a deal that makes the
Greek debt sustainable so they can come on board," he said.
Athens last week concluded a review of its bailout progress and has yet to
undergo a final check before its program ends. It hopes to start talks on
medium-term debt relief soon, mindful of ballooning debt because of this aid,
and now hopes to start talks on medium-term debt relief measures.
Greece and its lenders are expected to flesh out a French proposed mechanism
which was presented in June and will link debt relief to Greece's growth rates.
The economy is expected to grow by up to 2.5 percent this year and in 2019.
"What we will be going over the next month or so is working out the nitty-gritty
of it, the mechanism, how it will kick in, when it will kick in," Tsakalotos
said adding that a kind of subcommittee of the Euro working group would handle
this.
Details on the cash buffer, the growth mechanism along with the implementation
of the measures agreed in June would give investors clarity over Greece's
trajectory, he said.
Greece returned to bond markets in July after three years of market isolation.
Another issue would follow "soon", he said.
"The only outstanding issue is the composition of that buffer, how much will
come from Greece's own funds, and how much will come from the ESM and I'm
looking forward to that debate."
TOXIC LOANS
Greek banks are saddled with about 100 billion euros in bad loans (NPLs), after
a seven-year depression that cut economic output by a quarter and pushed more
than a fifth of the population into unemployment.
The results of stress tests on the banks by euro zone supervisors are expected
in May.
"We shall see what the results of the stress tests are," said Tsakalotos. "I
think that a lot of people would want to give banks a chance to see all these
bits of the puzzle that we put in to work through, and to address the NPL
problem."
"The good thing is that it's going to have the same criteria across the European
banking system, it's not like it's picking Greece as an exceptional case."
He pondered at a question on the government's achievements. It was, he said, a
mixed picture but the foundations for a sustainable economic recovery had been
laid.
"There are the pillars there, and it will be up to our government and if we are
elected again, to see whether we can build on that," he said, referring to
elections in 2019.
"... The difference between a happy ending and a sad ending is where you cut the
film, yes? We are still on the film."
(Reporting by Renee Maltezou and Michele Kambas Editing by Jeremy Gaunt)
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