Doctors and investors alike have been anxious to see how the
experimental combination of dolutegravir and lamivudine, also known
as 3TC, would stack up against highly effective triple drugs
championed by arch-rival Gilead Sciences.
GSK's majority-owned ViiV Healthcare unit, which is responsible for
HIV medicine, had reported success from the two so-called GEMINI
studies last month but details were only unveiled at the
International AIDS Conference in Amsterdam.
Pedro Cahn, a veteran HIV researcher from Argentina who led the
GEMINI studies, said the results showed it was possible get the
efficacy of three drugs in a two-drug regimen.
After studying 1,400 patients for 48 weeks, researchers found 91
percent of patients taking dolutegravir and lamivudine had high
levels of viral control versus 93 percent of those on three drugs.
The difference was not statistically significant.
Rates of virologic failure, or inability to control HIV, were
consistent at no more than 1 percent across all groups and no
patients developed drug resistance.
Importantly, the results were also broadly consistent whether
individuals had higher or lower starting levels of HIV in their
blood, reassuring those who had worried the two-drug regimen might
work less well in people with more virus.
"This is a new option for treatment," Cahn said. "The main reason
for doing this is to reduce the amount of drug burden when patients
are on life-long treatment."
GSK is betting that a shift to using two drugs rather than three
will boost its sales by offering patients a therapy with fewer
potentially toxic side effects. A two-drug regimen should also be
cheaper, since lamivudine is an off-patent generic.
ViiV has set itself a goal of overtaking Gilead in the $26
billion-a-year HIV market by the mid-2020s - an ambitious target,
since Gilead currently has a market share of 52 percent against
GSK's 22 percent.
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Linda-Gail Bekker, an HIV expert at the University of Cape Town, who
was not involved in the studies, said two-drug treatment was
attractive in principle.
"Simplification of treatment is what people want to see, both to
reduce costs and to reduce side effects," she told Reuters.
Nearly half of all HIV patients in the profitable markets of North
America and Europe are now over 50 and are vulnerable to side
effects from the drugs that keep them alive, making tolerability
more important than in the past.
But a key question remains the durability of the treatment, given
that many patients will be on HIV medication for decades. So while
some doctors will be assured by the 48-week data, others may want to
see two- or three-year results.
The central worry is the emergence of drug resistance. While no
resistance was seen in the 48-week trials, there was a case in an
earlier study, although GSK believes this was likely down to failure
to take the drugs properly.
Regulators are also investigating if dolutegravir might be linked to
birth defects, although there is no evidence proving a connection at
this stage.
ViiV, in which Pfizer and Shionogi have small stakes, plans
regulatory submissions for the two-drug combination later this year.
If approved, the new combination is expected to be much more widely
used than another GSK two-drug regimen called Juluca.
(Reporting by Ben Hirschler; Editing by Kirsten Donovan)
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