Romantic fantasy "The Shape of Water," Fox Searchlight's <FOXA.O>
tale of a mute cleaning woman who falls in love with a river
creature, goes into Sunday's ceremony with a leading 13
nominations, including best picture, director and actress.
But awards pundits say the coveted best picture Oscar is a
four-way race with Fox Searchlight dark comedy "Three Billboards
Outside Ebbing, Missouri," Universal Pictures <CMCSA.O> racial
satire "Get Out," and Warner Bros. <TWX.N> British World War Two
drama "Dunkirk" also in the running.
"The star of this year's Oscars is female empowerment. A film
with a female perspective has not won best picture since
'Million Dollar Baby' in 2005," said Tom O'Neil, founder of
awards website GoldDerby.com.
"This year, four of the nine nominated movies have a female
perspective. That's remarkable," he said.
With accusations of sexual impropriety against filmmakers,
actors and directors emerging every week since October 2017, the
Time's Up women's resistance movement has been as hot a topic in
Hollywood as the suspense over who will take home the industry's
highest honors.
The sexual misconduct scandal follows years of efforts by women
to close the gender pay gap in Hollywood and get the behind the
camera jobs that determine what films are produced.
Greta Gerwig, director of best picture contender "Lady Bird"
about a volatile mother-daughter relationship, is vying to
become only the second woman to win best director in the 90-year
history of the Oscars.
"Three Billboards," starring best actress front runner Frances
McDormand, is seen as channeling the rage of the #MeToo movement
and already has won Golden Globe, BAFTA and Screen Actors Guild
awards.
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"It's the story of a woman raging against male injustice for
refusing to find the killer and the rapist of her daughter. This is
the theme of what's happening throughout Hollywood," said O'Neil.
Dave Karger, special correspondent for entertainment website
IMDB.com, said that while "Shape of Water" has the most overall
appeal to Academy of Motion Picture voters, Jordan Peele's bold "Get
Out," a look at modern race relations through the prism of a horror
movie, "is emerging as the underdog of choice."
Peele, making his directorial debut, would be the first black man to
win a best director Oscar.
"Last year, the movie with far and away more nominations than any
other ended up losing best picture to a movie that spoke more to the
times," Karger said, recalling the 2017 win of black drama
"Moonlight" over presumed front runner "La La Land."
British betting firm Ladbrokes says the odds are tightest between
"Shape of Water" and "Three Billboards."
"It's really interesting that we have still got a fight and a race
on our hands and it's not a foregone conclusion," said Ladbrokes
spokeswoman Jessica Bridge.
No such suspense surrounds the main acting races, where McDormand is
heavily favored to win for "Three Billboards" and British actor Gary
Oldman's role as wartime leader Winston Churchill is expected to
bring his first Oscar.
(Reporting by Jill Serjeant; Editing by Sandra Maler)
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