Nonfarm payrolls increased by more than 15,000 during February,
according to data released March 22 by the Illinois Department of Employment
Security, or IDES. This 0.25 percent growth in payrolls is better than the 0.21
percent growth seen in the rest of the U.S.
But rather than gains in Illinois’ private sector, growth in government payrolls
made up more than half the state’s employment growth over the month.
Specifically, growth in the government sector was driven by local government
payroll expansions, which increased by 7,800, while state government payrolls
added 100 jobs and federal government payrolls actually shed 600 jobs.
In February, the industry sectors with gains in employment were
government (+7,300 jobs, +0.9 percent); trade, transportation, and utilities
(+5,900, +0.5 percent); professional and business services (+5,500, +0.6
percent); construction (+1,600, +0.7 percent); and financial activities (+1,200,
+0.3 percent).
The industry sectors with payroll declines were leisure and hospitality (-2,900,
-0.5 percent); education and health services (-1,800, -0.2 percent); other
services (-900, -0.4 percent); information (-500, -0.5 percent); and
manufacturing (-200, -0.03 percent). The mining sector saw no change in payrolls
over the month.
This month’s IDES report also made revisions to January payroll estimates. These
adjustments revealed January nonfarm payrolls actually decreased by 1,300 rather
than the increase of 200 jobs originally reported.
While it’s good to see Illinois outperformed the U.S. in terms of monthly
employment growth for the first time since September 2017, payrolls have only
increased half as fast as the rest of the nation in the past year.
The increase in local government payrolls is concerning as they are largely
financed through property taxes, which make up over 80 percent of all local
government tax revenue. Illinoisans already face one of the highest property tax
burdens in the nation, and expanding the number of local government workers will
only exacerbate this burden. Furthermore, increasing property taxes and weak
private sector employment growth can be expected to have a negative effect on
home values, which are still below their pre-recession level in Illinois.
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Illinois would be better suited to limit the
expansion of local government payrolls and provide families and
businesses within Illinois relief from the highest tax burden in the
nation. This would help to stimulate private investment, resulting
in stronger employment growth.
If Illinois is to do this, the state needs policies that will
incentivize investment and growth, and inspire confidence in job
seekers to stay in the labor market – and Illinois in general.
This does not include considering yet another income tax hike.
Elected officials and gubernatorial candidates alike have been
touting their support for enacting a progressive income tax system
in Illinois. Given what Illinoisans know about the rates put forth
in House Bill 3522, a progressive income tax would constitute a tax
hike of 21 percent, and increase tax bills for Illinoisans earning
as little as $17,300.
Meanwhile, the 2017 income tax hike is still being felt throughout
the state, and is expected to shrink the state’s economy. This
progressive income tax proposal would likely drag the state’s
economy down even further, resulting in declining investment and
fewer opportunities available to families who are trying to make
ends meet.
Instead of saddling taxpayers with a higher income tax burden,
lawmakers need to rein in the growth of government spending with a
spending cap. Fortunately for taxpayers, state Sen. Tom Cullerton,
D-Villa Park, and state Rep. Allen Skillicorn, R-East Dundee, have
both filed constitutional amendments tying growth in state spending
to growth in the state’s economy: SJRCA 21 and HJRCA 38.
If other lawmakers were to follow their lead and support these
efforts, Illinois could provide certainty for businesses while
averting the need for future tax hikes, thus putting the state on a
path toward healthier economic growth.
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