The boost in tax revenues is marginally credit positive in
states with a nascent legalized weed industry, the rating agency
said, including in larger states like California.
Cities and counties are more likely to see a bigger impact from
local marijuana taxes because of their relative size, Moody's
found. Some municipalities have prohibited local retail
marijuana sales, in order to avoid the potential strain on law
enforcement.
Twenty-nine states nationwide have legalized some form of
marijuana. Nine states permit recreational use. Canada is
planning to legalize weed later this year.
Colorado and Washington, two states with the most established
retail weed industries, offer examples of how tax revenues can
quickly ramp up in the years after legalization. Both states now
anticipate collecting hundreds of millions of weed-related tax
revenues annually. But ultimately that makes up 2 percent or
less of the states' total general fund revenues.
State and local governments collect sales and excise taxes,
along with licensing fees. The money has paid for
marijuana-related law enforcement programs, substance abuse
programs, school construction, and other capital projects.
Some experts and legislators have argued that high taxes and
fees on newly legal pot businesses have actually hurt their
ability to generate public dollars.
In California, where a law to legalize adult-use recreational
cannabis took effect this year, lawmakers have already proposed
temporarily reducing state-imposed cannabis taxes to help
legitimate pot workers stay competitive.
Adding to the challenges facing the industry's growers and
sellers, there is still no legal way to access banks and other
financial markets. Earlier this year, the U.S. Department of
Justice withdrew guidelines that limited prosecutions of
marijuana sales.
Estimates for the U.S. legal weed market reach $16 billion by
2020, up from $5.4 billion in 2015, according to Euromonitor
International.
(Additional reporting by Laila Kearney in New York; Editing by
Daniel Bases and David Gregorio)
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