A vote on May 25 on whether to scrap the 1983 ban is the latest
referendum to gauge just how much has changed in Ireland, once one
of Europe's most socially conservative and staunchly Catholic
countries.
Polls suggest the repeal camp is in the lead but the vote is much
closer than three years ago when Ireland became the first country to
back gay marriage in a national referendum. The one-in-five who are
undecided are likely to decide the outcome, both sides say.
As in the gay marriage case, the role of the Catholic Church this
time is tricky: some feel the Church should be out in front robustly
defending one of its core teachings. Others worry moralizing by
celibate priests may prove counter-productive.
"The priests in a way are damned if they do and damned if they
don't," leading anti-abortion activist Vicky Wall said as she
campaigned in central Ireland against repeal.
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The leaflets she distributed around the rural market town of Nenagh
mentioned religion just once, to address concerns that campaigners
in favor of the ban were imposing their beliefs on the country.
"Not true. You don't have to be from any faith tradition to agree
that human life should be protected... The right to life is first
and foremost a human rights issue," it read.
Religion was front and center when Ireland voted to ban abortion in
a 1983 referendum described by columnist Gene Kerrigan as part of a
"moral civil war" between conservative Catholics and progressive
liberals for the country's future.
The eighth amendment to enshrine the equal right to life of mother
and her unborn child was proposed by a coalition of Catholic groups
who feared Ireland would follow the United States and United Kingdom
into expanding access to abortion.
Protestant churches felt the wording was too rigid, but it passed by
a margin of two to one.
The result showed the depth of Catholic influence in Ireland. But it
also consolidated opposition when the implications of the ban became
clear in a series of legal cases just as clerical abuse scandals
rocked trust in the Church.
Ireland was transfixed by the 1992 case of a 14-year-old rape victim
barred from leaving the country by judicial order after she told the
police she was planning to get an abortion. The injunction was
lifted by the Supreme Court on the grounds her life was deemed at
risk by suicide.
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A referendum later that year enshrined the right of women to travel
for an abortion, legalizing a stream of more than 3,000 women who go
to Britain every year for terminations.
In 2012 a 31-year-old Indian immigrant died from a septic
miscarriage after being refused an abortion that might have saved
her life.
The ensuing outcry led to legislation the next year to allow
abortion when a woman’s life is in danger and, combined with
criticism from the United Nations and European Court of Human
Rights, helped build political pressure for a referendum to repeal
the ban.
CHURCH BATTLE
With just over two weeks to go before the vote, the Church has only
recently begun to get involved, putting up posters at a few churches
and allowing some anti-abortion campaigners to speak from the pulpit
during Mass.
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The small interventions have caused a rare public split.
The liberal Association of Catholic Priests, which represents more
than 1,000 priests in Ireland, called the sermons "inappropriate and
insensitive" and said that they would be regarded by some as "an
abuse of the Eucharist."
"As leadership of an association made up of men who are unmarried
and without children of our own, we are not best placed to be in any
way dogmatic on this issue," it said.
Pastoral letters from some of the country's 25 bishops have used
increasingly emotive language in defense of the ban in recent days,
however.
"We must not be naive about what is at issue in this Referendum. It
is a great struggle between light and dark, between life and death,"
Bishop of Cloyne William Crean said in his letter. "I invite you to
CHOOSE LIFE!"
Campaigners on both sides say they are generally avoiding religion
because they are afraid to alienate undecided voters and because
it's just not as relevant as it once was.
Seventy-eight percent of Irish people identified as Catholic in the
2016 census, down from 92 percent in 1991; 10 percent said they had
no religion and 3 percent were Protestant. But a survey by national
broadcaster RTE in 2006 showed Mass attendance had dropped to 48
percent from 81 percent since 1990. In 2011 the Dublin diocese said
as few as 18 percent of Catholics in the capital went to Mass every
week.
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"I think telling voters to vote a particular way because God wants
them to was never likely to be a winner for either campaign on
either side," said John McGuirk, spokesman for the Save the 8th
umbrella group.
He described the campaign as a "much more secular battle" than 1983.
While religious iconography featured in one recent national
anti-abortion rally, campaigners are focusing on the science of how
the fetus develops in the stages of pregnancy.
Yes campaigners, outfitted in the black sweatshirts with 'Repeal' in
white that have become their symbol, talk about women's rights and
the medical dangers they say are created by the ban.
"It's about the fact that ... women don't get a say in what they do
with their bodies under the eighth amendment," said 22-year-old Fay
Carrol, a chef from Dublin who lives in Cork.
Others argue that since abortion is a reality for Irish women - by
traveling or by ordering pills online - it should be acknowledged
and integrated safely into the health care system.
"To require women to be dying to access termination of pregnancy...
to demand that women who were raped carry their pregnancy to term,
these are unacceptable risks and unacceptable situations," said
Rhona Mahony, Master of Dublin's Holles Street Maternity Hospital.
Even without the Church's active involvement, some Yes campaigners
are concerned that the conservatism linked to Ireland's Catholic
tradition still guides many voters' views.
"People are struggling with that legacy of centuries of Catholic
Church teaching," said veteran women's rights campaigner Ailbhe
Smyth. "I think this is, and will be, a very tight referendum."
(Additional reporting by Padraic Halpin; Editing by Sonya Hepinstall)
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