The number of electric cars, including battery-electric, plug-in
hybrid electric and fuel cell electric passenger light-duty
vehicles, increased by 57 percent compared with 2016, the IEA
said in a report.
China accounted for 40 percent of the global total last year.
Research and development, policy support, charging
infrastructure investment and production improvements are
resulting in lower battery costs and higher electric vehicle (EV)
uptake.
Battery costs, however, are still a major component of EV costs,
so financial incentives such as rebates, tax breaks or
exemptions will be needed to support electric car deployment.
"Dynamic market uptake of electric vehicles has occurred in
recent years," the IEA said in a report.
"Ongoing support and commitments for increased deployment of EVs
from policy makers and the automotive industry suggest that this
trend is not going to abate in the coming decade," it added.
By 2030, the IEA estimates there will be 125 million EVs on the
road, based on existing and announced policies. That could rise
to 220 million if policies become more ambitious to meet global
climate goals and other sustainability targets.
The shift to EVs will increase demand for some materials,
especially cobalt and lithium used in lithium-ion batteries.
Cobalt demand is expected to be ten times higher than current
levels by 2030 at 101 kilotonnes (kt) per year under current
policies and could be as much as 25 times higher at 291 kt/year
with more ambitious government policies, the IEA estimates.
Lithium demand is forecast to be 91 kt/year by 2030 based on
current policies and 263 kt/year if more ambitious polices are
implemented.
So far, rising numbers of EVs on the road have had a limited
impact on electricity demand. In 2017, estimated global
electricity demand from all EVs was 54 terrawatt hours,
equivalent to slightly more than the power demand of Greece.
However, as electric vehicle uptake continues to rise their
charging will increase electricity demand and impact
transmission and distribution grids, the report said.
(Reporting by Nina Chestney; Editing by Alexandra Hudson)
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