Graphic: The rolling bear market
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[November 15, 2018]
LONDON (Reuters) - The stock market
bull has been running more or less since early-2009, with almost 200
percent in gains on world stocks at the start of 2018.
But ever since hitting record highs early in the year, several equity
indexes have been undermined by a poisonous cocktail of rising interest
rates, trade tensions, and currency crises in emerging markets.
In fact, the bull has turned into a bear in several places: a growing
number of equity indexes across the globe have slipped into 'bear'
territory – commonly defined as a price drop of 20 percent or more from
their highest levels in 52 weeks.
GRAPHIC: Index performance from 52-week highs and bear markets -
https://tmsnrt.rs/2QKKYgS
The share of bears by index is catching up all over the world too – from
West to East, from developed to emerging markets. Korea's KOSPI
Composite index <.KS11> - considered by some to be a bellwether for the
global economy - recently dipped past the bear market threshold.
In this interactive graphic https://tmsnrt.rs/2QCzyvm, Reuters shows the
performance of an array of major stock indexes relative to their 52-week
highs, as well as the share of index constituents in bear markets.
[to top of second column] |
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in
New York City, U.S., November 9, 2018. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
The graphic also shows the bull-bear spread: the gap between bullish and bearish
sentiment surveys of individual American investors, which indicates how
investors feel about the future direction of the market in the next 6 months.
GRAPHIC: Bull-bear spread - https://tmsnrt.rs/2QLhbEz
The gap as of November 2018 stands at a positive 3.5 percent, indicating that
investors on balance feel that the market's prospects are positive. But this is
the lowest read of net bullish sentiment since July 2017, indicating how
sentiment has turned.
GRAPHIC: Major global indexes - https://tmsnrt.rs/2QP4dpG
(Reporting by Ritvik Carvalho and Lea Desrayaud; Editing by Richard Balmforth)
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