Exclusive: Russia accepts need for oil
cuts, bargains with Saudi on details - sources
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[November 29, 2018]
By Dmitry Zhdannikov and Olesya Astakhova
LONDON/MOSCOW (Reuters) - Russia is
becoming increasingly convinced it needs to reduce oil output in tandem
with OPEC but is still bargaining with the producer group's leader,
Saudi Arabia, over the timing and volume of any reduction, two industry
sources told Reuters.
The Russian Energy Ministry held a meeting with the heads of domestic
oil producers on Tuesday, ahead of a gathering in Vienna of the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies on Dec.
6-7.
"The idea at the meeting was that Russia needs to reduce. The key
question is how quickly and by how much," said one source familiar with
the talks between Russian oil firms and the ministry.
"Most people agreed that we cannot reduce immediately, it needs to be a
gradual process like last time," said the source, who asked not to be
identified as he is forbidden from speaking to the media. The Energy
Ministry declined to comment.
Russian oil companies Rosneft <ROSN.MM> and Gazprom Neft <SIBN.MM>
declined to comment. Lukoil <LKOH.MM>, Tatneft <TATN.MM>, Surgutneftegas,
Gazprom <GAZP.MM> and Novatek <NVTK.MM> did not immediately respond to a
request for comment.
OPEC and its allies led by Russia have been restraining production under
a pact reached in late 2016 to prop up oil prices.
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Moscow agreed to curb output by 300,000 barrels per day, or one sixth of
the overall cut of 1.8 million bpd, but Russian companies took several
months to reach that level of reduction.
Now, Riyadh has suggested OPEC and its allies reduce output by 1 million
bpd from January 2019 to arrest a price decline as Brent crude <LCOc1>
fell below $59 a barrel this week from as high as $85 in October due to
concerns about a possible glut.
If Russia bore the same proportion of such cuts as it did under the
existing agreement, its share of the reduction would amount to 166,000
bpd.
"It was also said that reducing by one sixth this time is a big ask,"
the source said.
A second source briefed on the discussions said: "We need to reduce but
would not want to reduce by much."
OPEC and its allies will be meeting amid concerns over a slowing global
economy and rising oil supplies from the United States, which is not
involved in the existing pact.
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An oil storage tank of Russian oil pipeline monopoly Transneft is
pictured at the Baltic Sea port of Ust-Luga, Russia February 26,
2018. REUTERS/Vladimir Soldatkin
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Saudi Arabia is coming under renewed pressure from U.S. President
Donald Trump, who has asked the kingdom to refrain from output
reductions and help to lower oil prices further.
Possibly complicating any decision at next week's talks is the
crisis around the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi at the Saudi
consulate in Istanbul last month. Trump has backed Saudi Crown
Prince Mohammed bin Salman despite calls from many U.S. politicians
to impose stiff sanctions on Riyadh.
Russian President Vladimir Putin will meet Prince Mohammed in
Argentina at this weekend's G20 summit, which Trump is also to
attend.
Moscow has so far not committed to any new production cuts.
On Wednesday, Putin said Russia was in touch with OPEC but Moscow
would be satisfied with an oil price of $60 a barrel. Putin
previously said Russia would be content with oil at $70.
"We are in contact with OPEC and we are ready to continue our joint
efforts if needed," Putin said.
Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said on Wednesday the kingdom
would not cut oil output on its own.
"We generally have our reservations about the likelihood of a
2016-style cooperation this time around, though the Russian position
will undoubtedly be crucial," JBC Energy think-tank said in a note.
(Editing by Dale Hudson)
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