LDN - Business

Italy to cut deficit from 2020 after market sell-off

[October 03, 2018] By Giuseppe Fonte

ROME (Reuters) - Italy's populist government will cut its budget deficit targets from 2020, Economy Minister Giovanni Tria said on Wednesday, after investors sold off Italian assets and European Union ministers criticized its plans to jack up spending next year.

The ruling coalition last week said it planned to run a deficit of 2.4 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) next year, tripling the previous government's target. It also said that the deficit would stay at that level through 2021.

The announcement unnerved markets and prompted criticism from European Commission officials but 5-Star Movement leader Luigi Di Maio was defiant on Tuesday, pledging not to backtrack "by a millimeter".

However, government sources told Reuters on Wednesday the aim now was to reduce the deficit and to no higher than 2.2 percent of GDP in 2020 and 2 percent in 2021, and possibly lower. Next year's target remains 2.4 percent of GDP, they said.

The news sent Italian government bond yields down, and overnight the euro gained against the dollar. Italian bank stocks <.FTIT8300> jumped by as much as 3 percent, but later settled at a 0.8 percent gain.

Speaking at a meeting of Italy's largest employers' lobby, Tria confirmed that the fiscal shortfall would be put on a downward path after next year.

"The deficit will increase compared with the previous forecast in 2019, but then there will be a gradual reduction in the following years," he said, without spelling out what the targets would be.

Earlier, League leader and Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini had indicated the government was changing tack compared with last week's stance.

"The goal (next year) is to get Italians working again and paying taxes as they work and therefore reduce the deficit and debt in the following years," Salvini said in an interview with private TV broadcaster Mediaset.

DEBT

The coalition came to power in June promising to slash taxes and boost welfare spending, and says an expansionary budget next year will boost economic growth and thereby curb Italy's debt - the largest in Europe after Greece at about 131 percent of GDP.

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Italy's Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte addresses the 73rd session of the United Nations General Assembly at U.N. headquarters in New York, U.S., September 26, 2018. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz

President Sergio Mattarella hopes there will be as little deficit spending as possible, but is not trying to dictate numbers to the government, a source close to the president said on Wednesday.

Italian media have reported Mattarella is exerting pressure on the government behind the scenes to keep public finances under control and avoid a head-on collision with the EU.

"The majority of the member states will clearly ask and demand that these (EU budget) rules are observed," Austrian Finance Minister Hartwig Loger, whose country holds the rotating EU presidency, said on Tuesday.

Italy had previously pledged to Brussels that next year it would reduce its structural deficit, which is adjusted for the economic cycle and excludes one-off factors.

During his speech to employers, Tria played down the government's plans to raise deficit spending next year.

"Even with a deficit goal that takes us further away from the structural adjustment requested by Europe, it doesn't seem to me that it can be said this government is carefree on spending or that it's going to blow apart public accounts to keep promises," Tria said.

Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte is due to meet with key ministers to discuss the budget targets for 2019-2021 at around 1100 GMT on Wednesday, a separate government source said.

(Additional reporting by Massimiliano Di Giorgio, writing by Giselda Vagnoni, editing by Steve Scherer and Jon Boyle)

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