DoubleLine's Gundlach
warns U.S. Treasury yields headed higher
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[September 20, 2018]
By Jennifer Ablan
NEW YORK (Reuters) -
Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive officer of DoubleLine
Capital, on Wednesday said bond prices across the U.S.
Treasury yield curve could fall if the 30-year yield
closes above 3.25 percent twice in a row. |
Jeffrey
Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital LP, presents during
the 2018 Sohn Investment Conference in New York City,
U.S., April 23, 2018. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid |
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note <US10YT=RR> and 30-year
Treasury bond <US30YT=RR> both hit four-month highs early
Wednesday. The 10-year yield was currently trading around 3.08
percent and the 30-year around 3.22 percent.
Gundlach told Reuters he was still forecasting 6 percent on the
10-year yield by the next presidential election or a year after.
"I first made that statement in July 2016 when the overwhelming
consensus view was the 10-year was soon headed to 1 percent," he
said. "So the observation is right a little over two years later
with 10s a little over 3 percent."
He added: "My 6 percent by 2021 call is perfectly on track. No
reason at all to change it. A move soon to higher yields would
be signaled by the 30-year closing two days in a row over 3.25
percent."
Last week, Gundlach likened debt-financed U.S. budget deficits
to Miracle-Gro plant food and remarked that the benefits of the
ballooning deficit, stemming from tax cuts, were not permanent.
On Wednesday, Gundlach said, "The deficit is insane. A truly
strong economy produces a fiscal surplus."
(Reporting By Jennifer Ablan; Editing by David Gregorio)
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