Tech in driver's seat as S&P 500 flirts with record
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[April 10, 2019]
By Noel Randewich
SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Technology stocks
are extending their leadership on Wall Street as the S&P 500 trades near
its all-time high, with Advanced Micro Devices Inc , Xilinx Inc and
Xerox Corp among the top performers since last December's sell-off that
stirred fear of an end to a decade-long bull market.
The S&P 500 has surged 22% since Dec. 24, when fears of higher interest
rates knocked the index to an 18-month low. Silicon Valley has delivered
the strongest gains during that time, with the S&P 500 information
technology index jumping 32%, followed by consumer discretionary's 28%
rally.
GRAPHIC: S&P 500 sectors since Dec. 24 - https://tmsnrt.rs/2I6sFSJ
The S&P 500 on Tuesday dipped 0.61%, putting an end to eight straight
sessions of gains. It is down less than 2% from its Sept. 20 record high
close.
The so-called FANG stocks, plus Apple Inc , have outperformed the wider
market, with Netflix Inc surging 56% since Dec. 24, followed by Facebook
Inc , rallying 43% as digital advertisers spent more money on the social
network even after a series of high-profile embarrassments for the
company.
GRAPHIC: FANG since Dec. 24 - https://tmsnrt.rs/2D3ANze
Following the S&P 500's gains in the past quarter, its current valuation
of 16.6 times expected earnings is back above its average of 16.1 over
the past 20 years, according to Refinitiv data.
GRAPHIC: S&P 500 forward price-earnings ratio - https://tmsnrt.rs/2IbE5Et
Establishing a fresh record high on the S&P 500 would confirm that Wall
Street's bull market remains intact following its nearly 20% sell-off in
the final quarter of 2018. At the same time, stock market investors are
hotly debating whether the U.S. economy is nearing its first recession
since 2009.
Leading gains among S&P 500 stocks since Dec. 24 is Chipotle Mexican
Grill Inc , surging 84% as investors bet on the burrito chain's
turnaround under CEO Brian Niccol, who joined from Taco Bell last year.
Technology companies account for half of the 10 top performing S&P 500
stocks during the same time period, including Arista Networks Inc and
Cadence Design Systems Inc .
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The Charging Bull or Wall Street Bull is pictured in the Manhattan
borough of New York City, New York, U.S., January 16, 2019.
REUTERS/Carlo Allegri/File Photo
GRAPHIC: S&P 500 top performers - https://tmsnrt.rs/2D6GKLs
Kraft Heinz Co has been the S&P 500's poorest performer since Dec. 24, its stock
crippled in February after the processed food company wrote down the value of
its Kraft and Oscar Mayer brands by $15.4 billion. Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc
suffered the second-largest drop during that time, down 16% as the retailer
struggles with low generic drug prices.
GRAPHIC: S&P 500 bottom performers - https://tmsnrt.rs/2D7eqJ7
Of the S&P 500's 10 best performers, Chipotle, Xilinx, Keysight Technologies Inc
and Cadence are trading at forward earnings multiples significantly above their
five-year averages, suggesting their recent rallies might have become
overextended.
Three of the top 10 performers are trading at forward earnings multiples below
their five-year averages, even after their recent rallies.
GRAPHIC: Top performers' forward price-earnings ratios - https://tmsnrt.rs/2I8gGnF
Four of the S&P 500's top performing stocks since Dec. 24, including Xerox and
AMD, have credit ratings below investment grade, making them emblematic of the
risk many investors are willing to take as the stock market approaches fresh
highs.
(Reporting by Noel Randewich; Editing by Alden Bentley and Lisa Shumaker)
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