Australian wool prices a casualty in U.S.-China trade war
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[August 14, 2019] By
Jonathan Barrett and Mell Chun
YENNORA, Australia (Reuters) - Wool prices
in the world's dominant exporter, Australia, are plunging after Chinese
mills closed their order books, with buyers citing an escalation in the
U.S.-Sino trade war.
Some wool grade prices fell up to 7 percent at one of the country's main
auctions on Wednesday, traders told Reuters at the sale in the Sydney
suburb of Yennora. Those same grades -- popular with Chinese
garment-makers -- fell by double-digits a week ago.
"Last week fell heavily and it certainly will continue this week;
there's just no confidence and no business," said Scott Sealy, a trader
at Australian Merino Exports, which exports large quantities to China.
The price action is another sign of the Sino-U.S. trade war spilling
over to third parties such as Australia, which controls 90 percent of
global fine-wool exports.
Demand, once driven by Italian garment makers, now tends to be set by
Chinese wool mills who took about two-thirds of the industry's A$3.2
billion ($2.2 billion) in exports last financial year, according to
government figures.
This week's official wool price results won't be known until the end of
the week when results from all major selling centers are in. But the
benchmark price for fine Australian merino wool was already down more
than 20% from last year's high of $21.16/kg coming into this week's
auctions.
PRICE DISMAY
Wool brokers at the Sydney auction on Wednesday were visibly bemused by
the bidding, where more than a third of wool bales were passed in,
unable to meet reserve prices.
There were also audible groans from farmers sitting in the public
viewing area, who have been relying on income generated from fleeces to
survive the country's devastating drought.
Wool buyer Peter Rookyard, who has clients in China, pointed to global
events.
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Traders buy bales of Australian wool at an auction in Yennora,
Sydney, Australia August 14, 2019. REUTERS/Jonathan Barrett
"This is a different situation that we're in now, our markets are impacted by an
external force which is America versus China and we can't solve that problem,"
said Rookyard.
"What's happening is their stock is not moving out of China. The domestic market
is probably reasonable in China, but export has just come to a grinding halt.
They've got stock of greasy wool, wool tops, wool products, and they're going
nowhere."
Wool prices were an immediate casualty to the abrupt end of a trade truce,
triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of additional tariffs on
Chinese imports early this month.
The latest round of U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports announced on Aug. 1 will
capture clothing and shoes, although the 10% tariff has been delayed until Dec.
15.
Still, the price action has caught many by surprise, given wool production is at
record lows, and supply tight, due to the long-running Australian drought.
After hitting record high prices last year, wool demand had tempered before
stabilizing mid-year.
"We didn't know it was as bad as this," said Ian Sharp, industry veteran and
chief auctioneer at Macdonald & Co Woolbrokers.
"China is a very, very important component in our business, and if China is out,
the market is very sick."
(Reporting by Jonathan Barrett and Mell Chun in YENNORA; editing by Richard
Pullin)
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