Initial claims for state unemployment benefits decreased 18,000
to a seasonally adjusted 234,000 for the week ended Dec. 14, the
Labor Department said on Thursday.
Though the drop did not unwind the prior week's jump of 49,000,
it likely does not indicate a material shift in labor market
conditions as claims data tend to be volatile in the period
following the Thanksgiving Day holiday.
The prior week's surge, which boosted claims to 252,000 - the
highest reading since September 2017 - probably reflected a late
Thanksgiving Day this year compared to 2018. That could have
thrown off the model used by the government to strip out
seasonal fluctuations from the data.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims would fall to
225,000 in the latest week. They expect claims to remain
elevated relative to October's low reading given volatility in
the data around the holiday season and end of the year.
The Labor Department said no claims for states were estimated
last week. The four-week moving average of initial claims,
considered a better measure of labor market trends as it irons
out week-to-week volatility, rose 1,500 to 225,500 last week.
The underlying trend in claims remains consistent with a strong
labor market.
Last week's claims data covered the period during which the
government surveyed business establishments for the nonfarm
payrolls component of December's employment report.
The four-week moving average of claims rose 4,250 between the
November and December survey periods, suggesting some cooling in
job growth. The economy added 266,000 jobs in November, the most
in 10 months. The unemployment rate fell back to 3.5%, the
lowest in nearly half a century.
Labor market strength is underpinning consumer spending, keeping
the economy on a moderate growth path despite headwinds from
trade tensions and slowing global growth that have weighed on
manufacturing.
Thursday's claims report also showed the number of people
receiving benefits after an initial week of aid increased 51,000
to 1.72 million for the week ended Dec. 7. The four-week moving
average of the so-called continuing claims rose 6,250 to 1.68
million.
(Reporting By Lucia Mutikani Editing by Paul Simao)
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