Switzerland's second biggest lender said it expects an effective
tax rate of roughly 40 percent on 2018 results, up from the 36.8
percent rate for the first nine months and higher than its
previous full-year guidance of 37 percent.
The bank said the estimate included an "adverse impact" of about
2 percent, based on its assessment of new U.S. regulations.
The Base Erosion Anti-Abuse Tax (BEAT), introduced by the U.S.
Treasury Department in December, aims to prevent companies from
reducing earnings of their U.S. operations by loading their
businesses with costs and deductions, and then using
intercompany transfers to shift profit to lower-tax locations
abroad.
The rule applies to corporate taxpayers with gross receipts of
more than $500 million that make deductible payments to foreign
entities. While the BEAT rules are still subject to final
clarification, Credit Suisse said "it is more likely than not
that the group will be subject to this tax for 2018".
The bank estimates the BEAT regulations would raise its tax
burden by about 2 percent next year, to an estimated 30 percent.
Andreas Venditti, an analyst at Bank Vontobel in Zurich, reduced
his earnings per share and net profit forecasts as a result.
He cut his 2018 net profit forecast to 1.9 billion francs from 2
billion francs, and his 2019 forecast to 3.3 billion francs from
3.4 billion francs.
"The volatility in tax rate guide is surprising, however it is
clear that taxes are a highly complex topic, probably one of the
most complex for any company's finance department," he said.
Credit Suisse shares were down 0.6 percent in early trading in
Zurich.
The bank, due to report full-year results on Feb. 14, said it
awaited final publication of the rules before it could say for
certain if it was liable for the tax in 2018 and 2019, as well
as the size of the liability.
(Reporting by John Revill)
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