Eric Rosengren, president of the Boston Fed,
said in a speech that policymakers in the two major economies
should consider whether regulators need more tools, including
requiring banks to hold more capital now, to counteract economic
risks.
"Japan, like the United States, might benefit from considering
an expanded set of macroprudential tools to enhance the
financial system's resilience," Rosengren said in remarks
prepared for delivery at a conference in Eltville, Germany.
Rosengren, who is voting member of the Fed this year on U.S.
interest rates, did not discuss his monetary policy outlook in
the speech. The Fed on Wednesday signaled that rate cuts could
begin as early as July in response to growing economic risks,
rising U.S. trade tensions and tepid inflation. The Fed has
cited high levels of U.S. corporate debt among major risks to
the economy today.
Rosengren's speech focused largely on lessons from the
late-1990s financial crisis in East Asia and what he sees as
weaknesses in Japan's financial system today. The speech also
pointed to the role that central banks' powers beyond setting
rates, including overseeing banks, may play in the next
downturn. Policymakers could have lessened the impact of prior
financial crises by "stress testing" banks and requiring them to
hold extra cash, Rosengren said.
"Despite the passage of time and adoption of better policies,
one could argue that the Japanese banking system is now, once
again, being threatened by adverse economic conditions," said
Rosengren, who was at the Boston Fed when the 2008 global
financial crisis shook the economy.
"A shrinking population, aging demographics, and very low
interest rates provide very little room for Japanese banks to
operate profitably. This of course provides an incentive to
reach for yield, potentially implying additional risk-taking."
While Rosengren endorsed requiring banks to keep extra capital
cushions during good times, the Fed itself has shied away from
requiring banks to do so, keeping its "Countercyclical Capital
Buffer" requirement for banks at 0%. Rosengren does not have a
vote on those capital requirements.
The Fed is due to report later on Friday some results from its
own annual "stress tests" of banks' ability to weather a major
downturn.
(Reporting by Trevor Hunnicutt; Editing by Leslie Adler)
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