Oil steadies as U.S.-China trade war balances inventory drop

[May 09, 2019]   By Shadia Nasralla

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices steadied on Thursday as an escalating trade battle between the United States and China counteracted upward pressure from a surprise decline in U.S. crude inventories.

Heightened tensions between the world's two biggest economies have clouded the outlook for global growth, which influences oil demand expectations. Global equity markets were hit.

Brent crude oil futures were at $70.39 a barrel by 1030 GMT, up 2 cents from their previous settlement but still heading for their second consecutive weekly loss. Earlier in the session they fell as low as $69.57 a barrel.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $62.00 per barrel, down 12 cents, making good on some earlier losses. WTI futures ended Wednesday 1.2 percent higher, while Brent climbed 0.7 percent.

"Oil has been following equities' moves, but the fundamentals remain strong for oil," said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodity analyst at Swedish bank SEB. "Supply-side issues are bigger that those due to demand growth worries." U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that China "broke the deal" in trade talks with Washington and would face stiff tariffs if no agreement is reached. Higher tariffs are set to take effect on Friday, during Chinese Vice Premier Liu He's two-day visit to Washington which starts Thursday.

"The oil market has come under renewed pressure this morning, with the hope of a China/U.S. trade agreement fading," ING said in a note.

Oil platforms operated by Lukoil are seen at the Korchagina oilfield in the Caspian Sea, Russia October 17, 2018. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov/File Photo

"However, fundamentally the oil market remains constructive, with the global balance tightening, and the potential for a number of supply-side risks (remaining)." Oil prices have had some support from signs of tighter global supply on the back of production cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia.

Brent and WTI have risen more than 30 percent so far this year.

Supplies have also been tightened by U.S. sanctions on OPEC members Venezuela and Iran.

China's crude oil imports in April surged to a record despite refinery maintenance outages and tepid domestic fuel demand, customs data showed, as state-run refiners built up stocks of Iranian crude oil.

An unexpected drop in U.S. crude inventories also kept price declines in check. U.S. crude oil stocks fell by 4 million barrels in the week to May 3, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.

Barclays raised its third-quarter price forecasts for Brent and WTI by $4 per barrel to $74 and $67 respectively on expectations of tighter market conditions.

(Additional reporting by Aaron Sheldrick in TOKYO and Jane Chung in SEOUL; Editing by Dale Hudson and Jan Harvey)

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