Researchers poring over records of more than 50,000 patients who
were eligible for breast or colon cancer screening saw a big drop in
referrals as the day progressed. Patients were also less likely to
actually get screened, once they had a referral, if they saw their
doctors later in the day.
There are several possible explanations, said study coauthor Dr.
Mitesh Patel, an assistant professor the University of
Pennsylvania's Perelman School of Medicine and director of the Penn
Medicine Nudge Unit.
First, Patel said, "as we go through our day we get tired of making
decisions, so we're less likely to do it later in the day. And then,
as we go through our day, we tend to run behind schedule so at the
end of the day we have less time."
But there's also a possible patient factor, Patel said, adding,
"Patients at the end of the day may have less time because they're
in a rush to get home."
As reported in JAMA Network Open, Patel and his colleagues analyzed
electronic health records compiled between 2014 and 2016 by 33
primary care practices in Pennsylvania and New Jersey. They found
19,254 patients eligible for breast cancer screening and 33,468
eligible for colon cancer screening.
When examining those patients' records, the researchers found that
order rates for breast cancer screenings were at their highest at
8AM, at 63.7 percent, and dropped to 47.8 percent at 4PM and 5PM.
Similarly, order rates for colon cancer screenings at 8AM were
highest, at 36.5 percent, and dropped to 23.4 percent by 5PM.
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That doesn't mean patients should be trying to get appointments
early in the day, Patel said. But it does suggest that doctors might
want to look at ways to automate certain aspects of care. For
example, Patel said, a recent study found that more patients got
screened for colon cancer when stool test kits were automatically
sent out.
The new study is "intriguing and a little provocative but I think we
should be cautious before we start posing solutions," said Dr.
Albert Wu, an internist and professor of health policy & management
at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. "Correlation
is not causality and we should always be cautious jumping to
conclusions, particularly those that support a narrative we believe
in."
While the researchers have found an association between time of day
and rate of cancer screenings, it doesn't prove that the rate of
screening depends on the time of day. Time of day might simply be a
marker for some other factor, Wu said.
Wu points to a study of judges that similarly correlated time of day
with the likelihood of a judge approving parole. In that case it
turned out that prisoners who came before a judge later in the day
tended to be the ones who didn't have a lawyer representing them, Wu
said.
"And I do not recommend people try to schedule earlier appointments
simply based on the findings of this study," Wu said.
SOURCE: http://bit.ly/2E4A29A and http://bit.ly/2E1aRET JAMA Network
Open, online May 10, 2019.
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