Shares swoon as Beijing ramps up war of words
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[May 17, 2019]
LONDON (Reuters) - World share markets
suffered a fresh bout of selling on Friday after tough words on trade
from China, while bets on a new pro-Brexit leader in Britain sent the
pound sliding to its worst week in well over a year.
European stocks and Wall Street futures both slipped more than 0.7%,
though that seemed a relatively minor blip after the losses in Asia.
Shanghai finished 2.5% in the red and the yuan hit its weakest in nearly
five months, amid growing fallout from President Donald Trump's move to
block China's Huawei from buying vital American technology.
The foreboding grew further as the Communist Party's People's Daily used
a front page commentary on Friday to evoke the patriotic spirit of past
conflicts, saying the trade war would never bring China down.
In terms of how the trade conflict plays out, "the next fortnight will
be very, very important," UniCredit strategist Kiran Kowshik said.
"Chinese counter-tariffs are due on June 1 and if those get effective, I
think markets will price in the risk of the U.S. imposing its additional
$300 billion of tariffs ahead of the G20 meeting (near the end of
June)."
The drop in the yuan saw it ease past 6.94 per dollar in the offshore
market for the first time since November 2018.
Its slide has been steepening in recent days causing worries about how
far it could go. Sources in China told Reuters the central bank would
intervene to ensure it did not weaken past 7 to the dollar in the near
term.
"Breaking 7 is beneficial to China because it can reduce some of the
effects of tariff increases, but the impact on our renminbi confidence
is negative and funds will flow out," one of the sources said.
Rattled by the tensions, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan sank to a 15-week low and closed down 2.6% for the week.
Japan's Nikkei did manage to bounce 0.9% and the main Australian index
climbed to an 11-year peak as higher commodity prices boosted miners.
Germany's exporter-heavy DAX fell the most in Europe, with carmaker
stocks down as much as 2.1%.
Wall Street looked set for its first drop in four days. Sentiment had
been soothed on Thursday by better U.S. economic news, with housing
starts surprisingly strong and a welcome pickup in the Philadelphia
Federal Reserve's manufacturing survey.
Upbeat results from Walmart burnished the outlook for retail spending,
though the chain also warned that tariffs would raise prices for U.S.
consumers.
As the earnings season winds down, of the 457 S&P 500 companies
reporting about 75% have beaten profit expectations, according to
Refinitiv data.
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People walk in front of a board displaying stock indexes in Tokyo
April 22, 2015. REUTERS/Thomas Peter/File Photo
MAY COUNTS DOWN TO JUNE
The chillier trade winds helped Treasuries, with the 10-year yield down at 2.38%
after a second strong week running for bond markets.
Germany's Bund yields also fell back towards 2-1/2 year lows. French and Spanish
yields were set for their biggest weekly drop in two months too.
"Bond markets in general, especially (German) Bunds, are telling us they don't
see many good things going on in the next one-two years," said Neil Dwane
portfolio manager and global strategist at Allianz Global Investors.
The dollar lost a little of its shine against the safe-haven yen to stand at
109.60 from a top of 110.03. Against a basket of currencies, it was a shade
firmer at 96.941.
Yet the euro could make no ground and held at $1.1162, down 0.5% for the week so
far.
Sterling was one of the worst performers as Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May
battled to keep her Brexit deal, and her premiership, intact amid growing fears
of a disorderly departure from the European Union.
The pound touched a four-month low of $1.2735 and was down 1.9% for the week,
which is the biggest drop since February 2018.
Also under pressure was the Australian dollar, losing 1.5% for the week to
$0.6880 as investors piled into bets that interest rates would be cut in June.
Cyber currency Bitcoin tumbled over 20% at one stage for no clear reason. It was
last down 7%, albeit back on course for its third week of gains and having
doubled in value this year.
In commodity markets, spot gold steadied at $1,287 per ounce as risk sentiment
soured.
Oil futures firmed into a fourth session as rising tensions in the Middle East
stoked fears of potential supply disruptions.
U.S. crude was last up 33 cents at $63.20 a barrel, while Brent crude futures
rose 19 cents to $72.81.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers will
meet in Saudi Arabia this weekend to discuss whether to continue with supply
cuts that have boosted prices more than 30% so far this year.
(Editing by John Stonestreet and Gareth Jones)
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