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			 The first cases of the child-crippling polio virus in the 
			Philippines for 19 years are a warning for countries such as 
			Ukraine, where low immunity offers fertile ground for viral 
			epidemics, disease experts say. 
 Ukraine already has a big outbreak of measles - one of the world's 
			most contagious diseases - with almost 57,000 cases and 18 deaths 
			recorded in the first eight months of this year, according to health 
			ministry figures.
 
 Confidence in vaccines and coverage with childhood immunizations 
			against a range of pathogens have in recent years been dangerously 
			low, World Health Organization (WHO) experts and the UN Children's 
			fund UNICEF say, leaving large pockets of people vulnerable to viral 
			infections.
 
 "It's like a time bomb. It's ticking, and it could explode at any 
			time," said Lotta Sylwander, head of UNICEF Ukraine.
 
			
			 
			
 Sylwander's last post with UNICEF was in the Philippines, where 
			polio has been confirmed as having infected two young children.
 
 Polio is incurable but can be prevented with vaccination and has 
			been successfully eradicated in vast areas of the world in the past 
			few decades. Until last month, it had also been banished from the 
			Philippines, with no cases seen since 2000.
 
 Its "alarming come-back" in two confirmed cases in places about 900 
			miles (1,450 km) apart "puts 11 million Filipino children ... at 
			high risk of disability and even death"," said Chris Staines of the 
			International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies.
 
 Like the measles virus, which has been spreading through both the 
			Philippines and Ukraine for at least a year, polio can pose a risk 
			unless at least 95% of the population is vaccinated.
 
			
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			Polio immunization coverage in the Philippines is at 70%. In Ukraine 
			in 2017, only 51.9% of babies under a year old were immunized 
			against polio, UNICEF says. Last year that rose to 69.2%.
 
			Oliver Rosenbauer, the WHO's spokesman for the Polio Eradication 
			Initiative, described polio as "a highly infectious and 
			epidemic-prone disease" and said a range of factors can contribute 
			to low rates of immunization: Vaccine hesitancy, community 
			resistance, lack of infrastructure, lack of supply, patchy health 
			services, war and conflict.
 "Polio virus is very good at finding unvaccinated children, and for 
			sure there are vaccine coverage gaps," he said.
 
			Heidi Larson, director of the Vaccine Confidence Project which 
			tracks immunization coverage and attitudes to vaccines around the 
			world, noted the "worrying" pattern of polio's return to the 
			Philippines amid a measles outbreak, and said Ukraine's measles 
			epidemic is a "canary in the mine" warning.
 "The challenge now (in Ukraine) is whether in the face of all this 
			measles, have they kept up their guard against polio," she told 
			Reuters.
 
 (GRAPHIC: Polio prevalence - 
			https://graphics.reuters.com/
 PHILIPPINES-POLIO/0100B2BP1EL/HEALTH-POLIO.jpg)
 
 (Reporting by Kate Kelland, editing by Timothy Heritage)
 
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