A
total of $2.8 billion was sucked into precious metal funds
during the week, while bond funds took in $9.2 billion in their
38th week of inflows. Meanwhile U.S. equity funds suffered their
ninth largest outflows ever, losing $16.4 billion, said BAML
citing EPFR data.
The moves come as investors grapple with a nearly 15-month trade
war between the United States and China; warnings that Germany,
Europe's largest economy, is likely heading into recession; and
a slowdown in China's industrial output.
Reflecting investors' nervy outlook, BAML's “Bull & Bear” gauge
moved back to 0.7 from 0.8 the week before, showing investor
positioning is still "extreme bearish", the bank said.
The bank said it remained "irrationally bullish" in its 2019
outlook as bearish investor sentiment and desperate central
banks and policy makers, in addition to a bond "bubble", led to
an "overshoot" in credit and equity prices this autumn.
But BAML was "rationally bearish" for 2020 as the bond bubble
pops and a trough in credit spreads, causing "Wall St
deleveraging & Main St recession", it added.
(Reporting by Tom Arnold; Editing by Karin Strohecker and Alison
Williams)
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