Explainer: The purpose of U.S. presidential nominating conventions
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[August 17, 2020]
By John Whitesides and Trevor Hunnicutt
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States
has held presidential nominating conventions for almost 200 years, and
they have served in recent decades as an important televised
introduction to each party's candidate in the final months before the
election.
Here is a look at the upcoming Democratic and Republican national
conventions, which kick off on Monday and run back-to-back weeks. The
presidential election is Nov. 3.
PICKING A NOMINEE
U.S. political conventions were once a place where presidential nominees
were decided, often after multiple ballots and long fights, often among
party elders in "smoke-filled rooms." But that has not happened in
decades.
The last time a nomination was in much doubt as a convention opened was
1976, when Republican President Gerald Ford held off Ronald Reagan in
Kansas City, Missouri. The last convention to go beyond a first ballot
was in 1952 in Chicago, when Democrats chose Illinois Governor Adlai
Stevenson.
Now, the nominees are chosen by voters in a state-by-state series of
primary elections, with delegates from each state ratifying the choice
at conventions that are designed to showcase the party's candidate and
message.
The Democratic convention runs Monday through Thursday. The Republican
convention will be held from Aug. 24 to 27. Both will be mostly virtual
this year, because of the coronavirus pandemic.
WHO WILL SPEAK?
Four nights of speeches at each convention are intended to excite a
prime-time television audience to get behind the nominee and serve as
the starting gun for the final sprint to the November election.
The parties will trot out heavyweight political names before presumptive
nominees Democratic former Vice President Joe Biden and Republican
President Donald Trump deliver their acceptance speeches on the
respective final nights.
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Balloons drop at the conclusion of the Democratic National
Convention in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S. July 28, 2016.
REUTERS/Scott Audette/File Photo
But the conventions also provide a chance for the parties to
highlight people they view as up-and-coming political stars. Few
have taken advantage of the opportunity as well as Barack Obama in
2004, when the relatively unknown Illinois Democratic state
legislator delivered an indictment of political polarization. The
keynote address helped propel him to the White House four years
later.
This year, Democrats will spotlight 17 young politicians they
consider "rising stars," including onetime vice presidential hopeful
Stacey Abrams, in a keynote address set for Tuesday.
THE POLL BOUNCE
Both party candidates usually benefit from a small bounce in opinion
polls after their prolonged exposure at conventions, but the effect
is often short-lived and the bounces have gotten smaller as U.S.
politics become more polarized.
Polling averages compiled by the American Presidency Project at the
University of California at Santa Barbara show Democrat Hillary
Clinton received a 2-percentage-point bounce and Trump a 3-point
bounce after the 2016 conventions.
The last time the difference in bounces between the two parties was
more than 2 percentage points was in 1992, when Democrat Bill
Clinton's jump was 16 points and Republican President George H.W.
Bush's was 5 points. Clinton would go on to win the White House.
(Reporting by John Whitesides in Washington and Trevor Hunnicutt in
New York; Editing by Scott Malone and Peter Cooney)
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