A
vaccine is on the horizon, with inoculations potentially
beginning this month. But coronavirus case rates have surged,
the economy remains in recession, and U.S. policymakers are
divided over whether a full-on crisis response is still needed
or whether any further help should target unemployed families
and small businesses.
While a vaccine may speed the recovery and job creation next
year, Powell said it was not clear how long that will take given
the logistics around producing and distributing the new drug.
"It remains difficult to assess the timing and scope of the
economic implications of these developments with any degree of
confidence," Powell said in prepared testimony for the Senate
Banking Committee.
The intervening months "could prove challenging," he said, and
that the risks around the course of the virus and the success of
the vaccine are one reason he and other Fed officials wanted to
maintain emergency programs that provided loans to small
businesses, local governments and others.
But the Fed has made less than $25 billion in loans and asset
purchases from those programs -- pennies on the amount it was
willing to extend. While Fed officials feel the programs are an
important safety net if conditions worsen, Mnuchin has ordered
them ended on Dec. 31, and the available $455 billion directed
to other pandemic aid.
Congress remains deadlocked over how much more to do, even as
millions of jobless workers face the loss of unemployment
insurance benefits this month.
Members of the Senate Banking Committee have split along largely
partisan lines over the Fed programs. Republicans have agreed
that some Fed programs could be safely ended at this point and
the money put to other uses; Democrats have argued Mnuchin aims
to narrow the choices available to Democratic President-elect
Joe Biden and his nominee to succeed Mnuchin, former Fed chair
Janet Yellen.
The hearing is the latest quarterly review of the implementation
of the multitrillion-dollar CARES Act approved last spring to
bolster the economy from the impact of the pandemic.
A House committee will hold a similar hearing on Wednesday.
(Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Tom Brown and Chizu
Nomiyama)
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