As pandemic lifelines expire, Americans in housing free fall
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[December 08, 2020]
By Michelle Conlin
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Clarence Hamer doesn’t
expect to hang on to his house much longer.
His downstairs tenant owes him nearly $50,000 in back rent on the
four-bedroom duplex he owns in Brownsville, Brooklyn. Without those
rental payments, Hamer has been unable to pay the thousands he owes in
heat, hot water and property taxes. In September, after exhausting his
life savings, he stopped paying the mortgage, too.
“I don’t have any corporate backing or any other type of insurance,”
said Hamer, a 46-year-old landlord who works for the city of New York.
“All I have is my home, and it seems apparent that I’m going to lose
it."
America’s mom-and-pop landlords, along with their tenants, have been
dangling by a thread for nine months. Now, with Congress still
deadlocked over the contours of a second pandemic stimulus package, they
are entering a new housing abyss, a perilous period of pandemic limbo as
the last of the safety nets are set to expire.
The day after Christmas, the extended unemployment benefits that have
kept 12 million people and their families afloat are scheduled to
expire. Then, mere days after that cliff, on New Year’s Day, a national
ban on renter evictions from the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention is also set to lapse.
Overnight, an unprecedented bill of $70 billion in unpaid back rent and
utilities will come due, according to estimates by Moody’s Analytics
Chief Economist Mark Zandi. In all, up to 40 million people could be
threatened with eviction over the coming months, research from the Aspen
Institute says.
Much of the focus has been on tenants. But Stacey Johnson-Cosby,
president of the Kansas City Regional Housing Alliance, says more than
40% of the landlords surveyed in her coalition said that they expected
to have to sell their units in the coming months due to rental income
losses.
“They are sheltering our citizens free of charge and there’s nothing we
can do about it,” said Johnson-Cosby. “This is their retirement income.”
She added that small landlords are also terrified of speaking out for
fear of drawing the ire of tenant rights groups who promote “Cancel
Rent” and have bombarded landlords with publicity campaigns featuring
their pictures and barricades at apartment buildings and local
courthouses.
“What they don’t realize is that if they run us out and we fail, it will
be private equity and Wall Street firms that buy up all our properties,
just like they did with houses after the last foreclosure crash.”
PANDEMIC DEADLOCK
A $908 billion second stimulus relief package proposed by a bipartisan
group of senators is gaining traction in Washington but it is unclear if
President Donald Trump will support the plan, and it only includes $25
billion for rent relief—far from the $70 billion needed in January.
President-elect Joe Biden has indicated he will sign executive orders
the day he takes office extending moratoriums on evictions and
foreclosures as well as other relief measures.
But that will not address a brutal 20 days in January, between the
safety net expirations and Biden’s inauguration, when the free fall will
begin. And economists say this period of uncertainty has already
contributed to economic scarring that could threaten the U.S. economic
recovery, which is showing signs of slowing and veering back into
recession.
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Jennifer Maldonado joins demonstrators at a protest against an
upcoming wave of evictions that shutdown the LA Superior Court, amid
the global outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), in Los
Angeles, California, U.S., August 21, 2020. REUTERS/Lucy
Nicholson/File Photo
Though Biden will likely be telegraphing his administration’s
solutions in the coming weeks, “the reality on the ground is going
to be very dark, with people losing homes in the dead of winter
during a pandemic, said Moody’s Zandi. "It’s going to be very
painful and devastating. There’s going to be a lot of people who
fall through the cracks.”
Underscoring the urgency of the situation is the fact that new
research shows that evictions have led to increases in COVID-19
cases and deaths.
A report released Nov. 30 by a consortium of university researchers
found that there were 433,700 excess cases of COVID and 10,700
excess deaths associated with the lifting of eviction moratoriums
during the summer, before the blanket CDC ban began. States that let
moratoriums expire had a 2.1-times higher incidence of cases and
5.4-times higher mortality, according to the researchers from Johns
Hopkins University and other four other universities. (Report:
https://bit.ly/3qB3NFo)
The cost of this housing instability is not spread evenly, as
Blacks, whose employment has been hit the hardest during the
pandemic, comprise 80% of those facing eviction in major cities and
are also more than twice as likely to die of COVID than whites.
ZOMBIE PROPERTIES
At first, it all seemed easy. In May 2019, Clarence Hamer’s new
tenant had passed a background check and said she would live a quiet
life with her elderly father and boyfriend in the $3,250-a-month
duplex.
Two months after moving in, she stopped paying the full rent. Hamer
tried everything: calling her, texting her, knocking on her door—but
to no avail. In August 2019, he filed an eviction notice. But the
court date kept getting delayed until March 2020, when COVID-19 hit
and the courts ground to a halt.
Then, his tenant sublet the unit to other people --Hamer is
hamstrung from getting them out, too. He says they have trashed the
once tidy unit, and that there is a constant odor of marijuana, and
foot traffic in and out of the home at all hours of the day. He
watches it all and feels powerless, his net worth now turned into a
zombie property.
“They are going to foreclose. It’s only going to be a matter of
time,” said Hamer. “And rightfully so, I can’t blame them.
Apparently we are all in this together—unless you are a landlord.”
(Reporting by Michelle Conlin; Editing by Tom Lasseter and Lisa
Shumaker)
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